87-97 Years, China Industrial Economic And Industry Related Empirical Analysis

National economy cannot grow without various industries. As the foundation stone of the increasing of a country, the increasing of industry economy is one of focuses in academic field in the system of national economy. The study of economic increasing often pays close attention to the variance of the gross, ignores the fluctuation of the industrial structure, cuts the connection between the industries, so many studies are not deep.To describe the situation of the gross increasing of industries clearly, to understand the interaction among industries deeply, to seize the development direction of industries, this article analyzed the situation of the development of our industries from 1987 to 1997. The study is from three angles: the gross development of the first, the second and the third industry; the condition of economic benefit; the situation of industrial connection.The subject comes from an item of the national natural science fund "the deep and extensive studying on indirect economic benefit"(approval number: 79970108), through studying and calculating the input-output tables of china from 1987 to 1997, the article explored the increasing situation of national economy and the characteristics of the general layout of industries. Comparing with international statistic experience and the general regulation of the industrial layout, we got the actual condition of the development of our industrial structure: our industrial layout is still "the second, the third, the first", and such layout is enforcing. But investigating the structure of 33 industries, the fluctuation would do well to the gross economic increasing. Thus we verified that industrial structure could restrict or promote economic increasing.Economic increasing is a process of the gross; the variance of industries connects with the variance of the gross. We should combine the two variances, so we can make proper comparison. The article makes an empirical study to the gross, the direct and indirect economic benefit. We found that the gross of industrial economic benefit is increasing year by year, but the quality indexes are low, and the increasing of economy built on the increasing of inputting. The industrial layouts of the three sorts of economic benefit are "the second, the third, the first".Industries influencing each other, thus illustrated that there are relations among industries, which were called ripple mechanism and associating effect. On the base of previous investigation, the article made empiric studying on such connection effect, established estimating indexes such as industrial diffusion degree, then realized estimating such effect on the depth and the direction of the industrial chains. Developing such connection effect would drive the increasing of the whole economic system, drive industrial structure advanced and reasonable, thus would shorten the distance between prosperous countries and our country.Finally, the article analyzed the deficiency and the problems of the studying, advanced the direction of further study.