Leap Forward In Technology Selection And Evaluation Of Project Opportunities

The selection and evaluation of leapfrogging project is the first and most critical step for an enterprise to carry out the strategy of technological leapfrogging. The object of this paper is to help the project owner reduce the blindness and increase the success possibility when it makes decision about the leapfrogging projectwith proper theory and method.First, in accordance with the characteristic of leapfrogging project, this paper describes the concept of leapfrogging project, clarifies the importance, construction and principle of carrying out the selection and evaluation of leapfrogging project. Second, the paper analysis the domestic and foreign leapfrogging cases, on basis of which it states the problems that should be solved and the methods should be improved.Third, also the heart of this paper, is to build up the method system of selection and evaluation of leapfrogging project. Leapfrogging project selection includes technology foresight, market forecasting, industry forecasting, resource analysis and risk analysis, by which the project owner can determine the plan and business model of the projects to be selected. Leapfrogging project evaluation system should include all kinds of factors, which will effect the projects' success or performance. The paper creates a series of methods, containing balance score card and moment-transition model, which will evaluate the project value, the support factors and the project performance in finance and strategy, so that project owner can find the best project chance. This system will be of great use for an enterprise to realize technological leapfrogging successfully.