Real Estate Investment Project Risk Analysis And Assessment Study

Along with the fast growth of the national economy, the real estate market also presents good development situation in recent years, and also the real estate already becomes a foundational industry in the national economy. However, the real estate investment is an activity which is strong in synthesize, profession and technique, at the same time also is an enterprise with high investment, high repayment and high risk. These characteristics cause that real estate industry is different with other product investments. We have to carry on a thorough analysis and science guard to the existent risk in real estate investment project. Therefore, the exploration and the practice about the real estate investment risk and the policy-making theory was not solely an academic question, but became an important question so as to cause the domestic and foreign concerned experts and the real estate investors' value.This paper profits some quite mature theory and the method from the research of domestic and foreign real estate investment risk, and unifies the actual situation of real estate investment in our country. Then it elaborates the real estate investment in detail, analyzes the factors about the real estate investment risk, so as to establish an assessment target system about the real estate investment risk, and construct the controlled interval and memory model based on the fuzzy mathematics. It also takes a real estate investment project in Chendu as the research object, and has carried on the real diagnosis analysis. The findings indicated that the risk assessment result conformed to the reality. The FCIM model has gathered the merits of both fuzzy mathematics and the controlled interval and the memory model. It has a strong usability and an application value.