Study On The Classification And Prediction Theory Of The Transportation Demands Of Industrial Products

As a chief source original version, transportation planning has a vital influence on transportation industry's development. An accurate prediction of transportation demand is needed to make precise macroscopic scheme, to provide scientific proof for transportation's resource allocation and transportation planning, to meet the transportation demand better. There is deviation in the transportation demand theory which has obstructed the launch of the transportation prediction topic. Therefore, based on the attempt of mastering the basic variable—transportation demand, this article is aim at building a structure of classifying and predicting transportation demand's system, covering the shortage of transportation demand prediction.Selecting the transportation demand of industry products as studying object, this article mainly research the classification and prediction of industry production transportation. Firstly, by using ABC Classification, industry products transportation demand is classified into high value, low value and normal value three levels at the base of summarizing home and abroad theories and prediction of transportation demand, according to the difference of quality characteristic and the valuation of the products. Secondly, variation trends are analyzed at the base of elaborating how industry products transportation demand affected by industrial structure and transportation technical conditions. In addition, it proposes that Output coefficient method should be used on the prediction of A category and C category, which Produce luck coefficient method should be used on B category prediction, the structure and direction of transportation demand is analyzed at the same time.The classification and prediction of industry product transportation demand claimed by this article provides theoretic reference for macroscopic transportation planning and transportation enterprise's service product design.