Font Size: a A A

The Econometric Analysis Of Effect On China's Foreign Trade By Financial Crisis

Posted on:2012-07-18Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:T W ZhangFull Text:PDF
GTID:2212330368479615Subject:Industrial Engineering
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In the 21st century, with the rapid development of global economic, China's construction enterprises also develop rapidly. But at the same time there also appeared a lot of problems with the development. For example, delay of construction period, big investment, too more participation body and complex relationship, organization and other factors, in such a diverse natural environment and social environment, construction projects have to face with all kinds of engineering cost risk. So, from the cost control, construction safety and market competition and so on, strengthen risk analysis ability and the ability to control the construction project for the subject and object of all become very important. And in recent years, domestic economy in sustainable development at the same time also has certain unstable factors make the original is in engineering bidding and construction management of the engineering cost risks are increased, it also has some typical examples can use. Therefore, how to correct understanding of engineering cost risk and take effective measures, risks, and has already become one of the construction project is very important work.The construction of the building belongs to the general real estate and construction project, building on tender and standards, the construction quality, participation main body all have very high demand, so in the lab of a construction project will inevitably there will be many risks. The risk of uncertainty and variability to the laboratory building construction project as a whole brought a certain amount of threat. Currently in the field of international construction project management, cost management theory research have some results, and project risk management theory and control theory has been nearly mature, but, for the cost of the project and project management theory risk management and control theory research is still at a preliminary stage of development you are, so the cost of the project risk management, academic research has great significance and practical significance of the guidance.In this paper, the normal college of the construction of the experiment building An Shan project for empirical research objects, engineering project cost management and risk management, and the combination of and application to a specific practical activities, and for different stages of the project cost situation different methods, the complete set of project cost risk evaluation and avoid strategy, and thus, this paper is a practical guide and the significance of the value of practical application, has.First, the cost of the project risk management and risk control, is in the engineering project risk identification on the basis of, first of all to project involved all kinds of uncertain factors, major changes to the identification of the background and the performance characteristics of research and analysis. The project is the cost of the project the overall course plays an important role in the engineering project, is the first step of risk management is also particularly important step. The cost of the project risk generally are difficult to identify, conceal a gender, also have high too much uncertainty, so choose the correct way to of project cost risk identification and there is certain difficulty, need according to different stages of the cost of the risk characteristics, then decided to the specific identification method and means.Secondly, in to the project cost risk identification, some after the cost of the project risk assessment is crucial. We through to the project cost risk identification and evaluation, more of the project construction cost and actual cost budget, budget cost less than the actual cost of the probability of risk happened, and the risks of determination, and estimate, in order to measure the project before it begins to take the corresponding cost risk management strategy. Secondly, in to the project cost risk identification, some after the cost of the project risk assessment is crucial. We through to the project cost risk identification and evaluation, more of the project construction cost and actual cost budget, budget cost less than the actual cost of the probability of risk happened, and the risks of determination, and estimate, in order to measure the project before it begins to take the corresponding cost risk management strategy.In the engineering project cost the risk evaluation can choose many methods, in specific practical application, we need to evaluate the risk of more shall, according to the different situations and the final goal of the project, the cost of the risk assessment with the right, the method of science. Some of the risk assessment method can be divided into qualitative analysis method and quantitative analysis method.Finally, project risk management strategies are various, project from the initial feasibility analysis, through tendering and bidding, sign a contract to the final implementation, there is no such links as there is no risk of different situation, should adopt different risk aversion strategy, cannot treat as the same, and a lot of risk is not completely prevent and processing of the application, the evasion of the risks strategy: risk aversion, risk reduction, diversification, the risk transfer and risk privately owned strategy, also can solve some problems of the risk, and not all of the risk can be through the above one or several strategies can solve, need to solve particular problems. Other risk aversion way still has a lot of, for example project risk using, preparation plan and other risk prevention strategies.There is not a good risk hedging strategy can avoid all risks occurrence, what we can do is try to reduce the occurrence of risk, or reduce the risk of loss, try to bring price guarantee of the project have quality have the completion of the quantity, reduce the cost of the project risk. Combined with the construction of concrete anshan building, we use the five strategies in different project risks of different role in building construction project, a concrete analysis and research.
Keywords/Search Tags:risk management, project cost risk management, Monte Carlo Simulation
PDF Full Text Request
Related items