| The modern logistics has higher and higher demand of speed and time. The international air express business increase quickly. Airfreight will get a a huge potential market. With the development of social economy of Jilin provence and Changchun and the need of revitalize the old industrial base, the demand of civil aviation transportation become more and more. Changchun Long Jia International Airport is backbone airport of Jilin Airport group. It locates at center of northeast area, so it has geography district advantages to develop modern aviation logistics. From Changchun Long Jia Airport upon completion and opening, the airlines and flights between the cities increase and the airport service level also largely promotes. In recent years Changchun Long Jia International Airport develops quickly. The rate of passengers and cargo volume is biger than original overall plan. For better adapting the development of society economic of Changchun area and meeting the air movement demand, Jilin Airport Group Company decided to revise the old changchun airport overall plan. The scale and grade from the old changchun airport overall plan are on the conservative side. Airport is large infrastructure. It should consider the correlation and promoter action between it and local economy development. Its scale should leave scope.In order to fit the fast-moving of Changchun Long Jia International Airport, the paper is based on the airport reality. According to the related aviation standard and theory, Aviation business volume is selected as the object of study. Firstly come to understand the the general situation of Changchun Long Jia International Airport. Through consulting each kind of statistical literature,the government document and the massive accurate data, analyse the natural condition and the airport present situation of Changchun Long Jia International Airport. Keep abreast of its actual situation as well as the development present situation. Then analyse the passengers and cargo volume, times of airplane taking off and landing sortie, passenger volume leaving port etc.. When analyzing the passengers and cargo volume, the data divided by domestic international, months and peak hour is analyzed. So the Air business demand development rule of Changchun Long Jia International Airport is obtained. Based on it, the prediction models are created. They conclude qualitative forecasting models and quota forecasting models. Predict the passengers and cargo volume of Changchun Long Jia International Airport. Based on the results predict the values of main parameters of airport with the relational theory and airport planning standards. The main parameters include aircraft-type combination, the passengers and cargo volume and times of airplane taking off and landing sortie in peak day and hour, Station level ground seat on a plane number, terminal building area and traffic lane length, parking demand, Cargo plane figure and freight transportation warehouse demand. Analyze the resulte and provide foundation for establishing Changchun Airport overall plan. |
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