| Since the reform and opening up, our country tourism develop fast, the tourism industry scale unceasingly expand, the tourism industry system is perfect. Tourism resource consumption is low, driving factor is big, many opportunity of employment, comprehensive benefit to accelerate national economic and social development, promote the readjustment of the economic structure and co-ordinates the region economy coordinated development, tourism plays an important role in the national economy and social development, tourism has continuously improve status from sunrise industry, the green industry for our national development rose struts industry and strategic industry. The current our country is in the period of rapid industrialization and urbanization, growing popularity, diversified consumer demand for tourism development provides new opportunities.Until 2015, tourism market scale to further expand domestic tourism toll, realize the 33 million person-time, with annual growth of 10% of targets, and more apparent, economic and social benefits of tourism hitting with an average annual growth above 12%, tourism sector accounted for the proportion of GDP increased to 4.5%. Along with our country tourism sustainable development capacity by 2020, the increase in Chinese tourism industry scale, quality, benefit basic reached the world of great tourism power level.However, we emphasize the rapid development of tourism industry and tourism industry promote national economic and social development, meanwhile, the influence of intentionally or unintentionally overlooked the development of tourism depending on the economic growth and social development and natural environment. Due to the complex industrial factors influencing diversity, making tourism activities into industrialization development stage, endogenous instability adhere them. For example industry structure unreasonable, tourism economy operation shaky and tourism enterprise management environment complex and changeable, tourism crisis frequent and so on, This instability of the tourism industry operation and the development of the tourist enterprise will produce great harm, but also will spread to other related industry development, therefore, how to avoid the instability of endogenous of tourism industry, ensure tourism industry and tourism enterprises smooth operation and development, all of these is before us;must answer the question, is an urgent need to study the issue.Tourism enterprise is the basis of tourist economy, tourism enterprises in the development degree of development status of measured as the important embodiment of tourism, especially in China the development trend of tourist enterprise group, Tourism enterprise group in business management also exposed many problems, among the more notable is the tourist enterprise group anti-risk ability is weak, less competitive, therefore, how to upgrade of tourist enterprise group's risk management and control level, enhancing tourism enterprise group competitiveness has become an important research topic. Based on microeconomic subject tourism enterprise group as the research object, and through tourism economy operation and tourist enterprise group operating information analysis, select tourist enterprise group operating index, constructing the enterprise economic warning system model for tourism economy, in allusion to the fluctuations of tourism economy and tourism enterprise group management status, especially possible potential risks and the threat.we should real-time monitor and evaluate the future development trend, forecast for possible imbalances and alarms, tourism enterprise group make predictive guide and judgment about tourism economic future development trends, provide scientific basis to the right decision for the company, to ensure tourist enterprise group smooth operation and the healthy development. |
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