Research On Jinzhou Port Of Oil Transport To The Development Of Countermeasures

The port plays an important role in the whole transport system is a major component of the integrated transport chain, port economy has become a growth pole of the regional economic development. Since2003, the major coastal cities will have development of the port, especially the construction of large-scale oil berth as an important part of its urban development strategy, the strategic petroleum reserve storage building oil transport to become a new profit growth point in the major ports. Into an international integrated port has been the development goals of the Jinzhou port, Jinzhou port is in the center of the Bohai Economic Zone, has a good location advantages. With the integration of port and urban development trends, the port invested to increase industry support to strengthen port and oil transport has a good foundation."12th Five-Year" period, Jinzhou Port crude oil transportation will actively make use of opportunities for Sinopec, CNOOC, China's energy reserves of the Group "12th Five-Year" Planning the strategic layout of the Bohai Sea, the development of crude oil transportation.Firstly, through the elaboration of international and domestic economic environment, international and domestic shipping development status, level of international oil transportation market and the domestic oil transportation market run for analysis on the the Jinzhou crude oil transportation development of the external environment; Secondly, JZOverview of Hong Kong, Jinzhou port infrastructure, Jinzhou port hinterland economy Jinzhou Port development status is described on the basis of combined analysis of the development of Jinzhou Port of the need for oil transportation and oil handling capacity, oil throughput of Jinzhou Port, oilgoods transport and potential customers, the development of oil transportation problems in detail; on the basis of an overview of the classification of forecasting methods, as well as commonly used in container throughput forecast, combined with improved gray prediction model and Neural Network Modelthe process of establishing a gray prediction and neural networks to forecast combination forecasting model based on data to predict the oil throughput of Jinzhou Port and Jinzhou Port to2003to2011oil throughput; Finally, combined with oil throughput of Jinzhou Portthe amount of the forecast results and problems in the process of the development of oil transport in Jinzhou Port, Jinzhou Port of oil transport development measures.