Study On The Inter-provincial Floating Population Effect On The Growth Of Construction Land In China

The floating population made a great contribution to Chinese economic development, promoted the development of industrialization and urbanization, and had a great effect on land use. The logic of this paper’s ideas is as follow:find problems, analyze problems, solve problems, finally summarize. In this paper, we will research the effect which inter-provincial floating population has on the growth of inter-provincial construction land in China.The main contents of this paper are:summarize related research; analyze the situation of inter-provincial floating population and construction land’s growth in China; analyze their correlation; summarize the mechanism that inter-provincial floating population has a great effect on the growth of construction land in China; and measuring the size of the effect. The main conclusions of this paper are:(1)Eastern coastal area was the high value clustering area of inter-provincial floating population in China; the three areas with the largest inter-provincial population ratio were Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong. Moran’s I shows:In 2005, the clustering degree of inter-provincial floating population and floating population ratio enhanced. (2)The indexes of the growth of construction land show:the high value gathering area of inter-provincial construction land’s growth gradually moved from the central areas to the eastern coastal areas; Shanghai’s construction land growth efficiency was higher than that of any other places in China; the level of intensive use of construction land in most provinces except Henan and Hainan enhanced; Construction land increment was concentrated in a small area, spatial distribution was very uneven, clustering degree weakened at the beginning, and then enhanced, and continued to enhance. (3)The correlation coefficient of inter-provincial floating population leaving household registration place for less than 1 year and construction land growth of 3 years in the future shows:there was a strong positive correlation between inter-provincial floating population and construction land growth. Floating population make the total population grow, pepole need construction land; floating population can promote the local development of economy, industrialization and urbanization, which makes the construction land grows. (4)Spatial error regression results show, the size of effect which inter-provincial floating population has on construction land growth is as follow:if a certain province’s proportion of the scale of provincial floating population floating population leaving household registration place for less than 1 year which accounts for the sum of that of all provinces increases "a" times,in the next 3 years, the proportion of that province’s construction land growth scale which accounts for the sum of that of all the provinces will increase 5.5300*ln(a+l) thousand points; the proportion of that province’s province’s residential and independent land growth scale which accounts for the sum of that of all the provinces will increase 4.6674*ln(a+l) thousand points;the proportion of transportation land growth scale will increase 8.5535*ln(a+1) thousand points.The proposals of this paper:improves the system of floating population management; coordinates provincial construction land growth, improves the level of intensive growth; controls the eastern to set up development zones, supports the central and western to set up development zones; accelerates the industrial transfer and upgrading;improves the new construction land allocation evaluation system.