Research On Low-carbon Economic Development Path And Policy Of Hunan

Firstly, through the elaboration of the grim climate situation of the global and China’s,and the current situation of economic development in Hunan Province, this paper argues thatit is necessary for Hunan Province to develop the low-carbon economy. Then this paperexplorate the energy consumption and the industrial structure of the current situation ofHunan,and according to the fossil energy consumption structure in Hunan Province, this paperuses coal, oil and natural gas the three main energy data to account the carbon emissions andper capita carbon emissions from 1995 to 2010. The LMDI model has also been used toanalyze the main positive factors and negative factors of per capita carbon emissions toexplore low-carbon economic development path suitable for Hunan. At the same time thepaper uses the decoupling theory analysis to examine the trend relationships of economicgrowth and carbon emissions. Finally, relevant policy recommendations is made to developlow-carbon economy suitable for Hunan, conclusions can be drawn as follows:(1) The current energy situation in the industrial structure of Hunan is severe, such asenergy consumption growth is accelerating, saving energy is a arduous task, the energy gapbetween supply and demand is enlarging, the proportion of clean energy consumption is low,the secondary industry is at the high proportion, the energy consumption of six highenergy-consuming industries occupy a high proportion. All these caused a great obstacle tothe development of low-carbon economy in Hunan.(2) By factor analysis, we found that the main factor driving Hunan’s per capita carbonemissions is the factor of economic development; the most important negative factor is theenergy intensity factor. Carbon emission intensity has no effect on the per capita carbonemissions due to that it is the relatively stable. The impact of changes in the energy structureon carbon emissions is obvious compared to the carbon emission intensity, but the impact isstill very weak, due to changes in energy consumption structure is limited. Therefore, only asignificant improvement in energy consumption structure will clearly have an impact oncarbon emissions.(3) Energy intensity is mainly driven by the terminal sector energy intensity and outputstructure. The cumulative contribution of the terminal sector energy intensity effect is greaterthan the output structure, so the cumulative effect of energy intensity expresses as the negative effect of decreasing.(4) The trend of economic growth and carbon emissions is showing inconsistency, that isto say external shocks such as policy and technology can change the trends in emissions ofcarbon dioxide in the short term, and the policy is effective for controlling carbon emissions,the implementation of appropriate and effective policy control measures can control theupward trend of carbon emissions.(5) The choice of low-carbon economic development path in Hunan, we should find itfrom the perspective of energy, industrial, consumer, and carbon sequestration. The policyshould combine administrative means with the market mechanism, and give full play to therole of the invisible hand of the market mechanism to achieve a low carbon economy.