The Study On Farmers’ Decision-making And Policy Optimization In Collective Forest Land Circulation Jiangxi Province

After the collective forest right system reform, the owner of forest is decentralized. The degree of the decentralization is unprecedented and unrepeatable. Thus the circulation of the forest land becomes the major part of the reform, which contributes to the scale management and resources optimization allocation of the forest as well as the improvement of the farmers’livelihood. Jiangxi province is the one of the typical southern collective forest areas in China, whose property relation reform spearheads all over the whole country.Literature consultation and logical analysis was adopted in this thesis. A review of the forest right system reform, the theoretical achievements of behavior decision theory about the circulation of the forest land. A case study was made on the effects of forest system reform and the circulation in Suichuan county and Tonggu county in Jiangxi Province.According to the research, the forest land circulation behavior was not quite general in forest management, there were some dispersive and small scale forest land circulation transactions, meanwhile, the area of the trades was often trapped within the state-owned forest farm or the villages. There were three reasons that who choose to circulate the forest land:First, in1980s, many farmers circulated their forest land to the state-owned forest farm or other large forestry centre because of the low forest product price and high tax. Second, some rich farmers were less interested in forest management; Moreover, some forest land was remote and there were shortage of works. On the contrary, farmers didn’t circulate the forest land because that:One is that, with the increasing of the forest product price, and the lower tax, farmers gained more benefit, they wanted to manage the forest more by themselves; Meanwhile, the identification of the forest property made the farmers confident in forest policy; At the last, Due to the traffic inconveniences and poor circulation market, it’s hard to find someone to take the forest land.As for the farmers’circulation income, to estimate the forest land circulation price based on the woodland expectations method and validated the economic rationality of farmers’forest land circulation act. It showed that the price is8292.541yuan/hm2on the condition that there is a forest land circulation trade with30years contract; it’s higher than the price2250yuan/hm2by investigation, it seems to be reasonable in this result for farmers’ circulation income. However, it’s not rational for farmers to circulate the forest land in the lower price. Usually, the forest land circulation price is affected by the forest management price which is affected by other factors. In this paper, the interest rate, age of trees and circulation cycle were used to analyze their effect to farmers’ forest management income. The result shows that, farmers’forest management income could be improved by the growth age of trees and increased circulation cycle, but reduced because of the higher interest rate.On the basis of the survey data from270farmers in Suichuan and Tonggu countries, used the empirical analysis to establish the logistic regression model of farmers’ behavior in forest land circulation, in order to analyze the factors which affected the farmers to inflow or outflow the forest land and draw a conclusion. It found out that in the outflow forest land model, with the increasing of the labor force and the forest area, farmers would chose not to outflow the forest land; It would promote the farmer to outflow the forest land if the age of head of household, the education level, the forest number were increasing or the head of household was not cadres and thought it hard to gain the forest cutting quotas. In the inflow forest land model, as the income which come from the forest management rose, the more larger the forest area got, the farmers would inflow the forest land from others, but the forest land inflow behavior reduced with the increasing of the proportion in income with non-agriculture or the time used to do non-agriculture activity in the whole family.At last, it put forward some well-targeted proposals for the factors which affected farmers’ forest land circulation act based on the theory and empirical result. First, strengthen the education, improve farmer quality and cultivate actively new farmers; Second, create the normative forest land circulation markets to promote the forest land circulation transactions; Thirdly, develop actively the forest cooperative organization to meet the needs of the circulation market; Fourthly, improve the forest resources evaluation system to protect farmers’ income; Fifth. relax the forest cutting quota to increase farmer reforestation enthusiasm; Sixth, strengthen the forest finance system to consolidate farmers’ forest investment.