Influence Factor And Analyses Of Shan Xi Province’s Rural Labor Force Transferred

In the year of2004, along with national agricultural development policy, Chinese rural migrant workers rushed back to their home-villages, shaping another eye-catching phenomenon of peasants going out and temporarily coming back。Through establishing a theoretical model with strong explanatory power for the return of Shan Xi province rural workers, this thesis explores the significance implied in this social phenomenon by quantitatively analyzing all factors affecting their return behavior, with the aim to provide persuasive policy suggestions on this aspect.The logic structure of this thesis is as follow. Based on the current situation of rural labour migration in the west of China, the author firstly introduces the patterns of labor migration, analyzes the historical process of their return, and points out the contradictory reality of rural labor return against the existence of labor shortage. And then, by introducing the related theories and models form home and abroad, and starting from the actual circumstances in Shan Xi, China, this thesis proposes the key model to explain this phenomenon---the panoramic push-pull-joint force theory and model. Next, based on in-depth statistic analysis of sample survey data, the author obtains a list of factors affecting the return of rural migrant workers, and then conducts empirical study on these factors and the econometric model. Finally, relevant policy suggestions would be provided on basis of the statistical analysis and empirical analysis.Through detailed household investigation, in-depth theoretical analysis and empirical study, the author achieves the following significant results, which are also the major innovative points of this thesis.Firstly, the theoretical model of panoramic push-pull-joint force is established to analyze the labor migration. Based on analysis of foreign theory, in consideration of rural labor migration reality in the Shan Xi province, the theoretical model of panoramic push-pull joint force is set up as the framework for the whole theoretical analysis.Secondly, the main reasons for return of migrant rural workers are clarified based on household investigation and quantitative analysis. The Probit model is used to analyze factors affecting the return of migrant labors based on questionnaires and interviews in some of towns and villages of Shan Xi Municipality.Finally, the countermeasures to resolve problems in the return of migrant rural workers are put forward. Inside the framework push-pull joint force model, based on actual factors of pushing and pulling, this thesis proposes policy suggestions from urban perspective, rural perspective, as well as the rural-urban coordinated development strategic perspective.