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Research Of Economic Effect Of Marine Leading Industry

Posted on:2013-01-30Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:X RenFull Text:PDF
GTID:2249330377953159Subject:Quantitative Economics
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In the modern economic growth, industrial structure is closely related toeconomic development, upgrading the industrial structure will make China’s economydevelop soundly and rapidly, improve both the quality and the amount, and makethem persistently growth. According to the inspection on the developed industrializedcountries’ development practice, we can find that the structural problems of a region’seconomic development are mainly the problem of leading industries. In thedevelopment of Regions and countries in different stages of economic, there is alwaysone or several industry which have the most competitive, fastest growing and highestcorrelation, and can promote economic development throughout the region to achievethe upgrading of industrial structure. Since the reform and opening up, China hasactively learn from foreign experience in leading industries, and select a number ofkey industries and vigorously support, and has achieved positive results.Reasonable marine industry is also the important guarantee for the rapiddevelopment of marine economy. The level of development of the leading industriesin large part determine the nature and level of development of the whole industrialstructure, and thus have a considerable impact on the overall level of development ofthe national economy, which marks the stage of economic development anddevelopment trends. Whether the Leading industry selection is appropriate andcontribution to economic growth is great, has an important impact on the optimizationand upgrading of industrial structure.Based on the previous theory, through qualitative analysis of the status andcharacteristics of China’s marine industry structure and development of marineindustry, using industry choice theory and benchmarks and ensure the ocean leadingindustries in China, based on which to build the index system of driving effect ofocean economy and ocean industry which caused by ocean leading industry. based onthe research results of current industry economic effects, firstly, use cointegration anderror correction model estimate the long, short-term effects of economic growth ofocean leading industry, analysis the efficiency and growth of the leadingindustries.Secondly, ased on the theory of industrial relevance to the marinetransportation industry, take the ocean transportation industry for example, use VARand impulse response function, make empirical analysis of ocean leading industryassociation effect of the three industries, to build a comprehensive marine leadingindustry economic effect evaluation system. Provide suggestions for optimizing theindustrial structure, nurture and foster Oceanic Industry.The main results and innovation include:Firstly, analysis of short-term and long-term effects on the development ofmarine economy caused by ocean leading industry:The ocean leading industry on theleading role of the overall economy have different stage, through the estimate of longand short-term effects, analyze the efficiency and growth of the leading industries.Whether in the long term or short-term, marine fisheries, marine transportation, coastal tourism, the coefficient of elasticity are biggest, the leading role of the marineeconomy are strongest, which indicate that these three industries have a stronginfluence and diffusion. The differences of short-and long-term elasticity of ooffshoreoil and gas industry, marine transportation, marine bio-pharmaceutical industry arevery large,which indicate that such industry leading role of the marine economy havecertain delay.Secondly, China’s maritime leading industry driving effect analysis: take theocean transportation industry for example, use VAR and impulse response function,and make empirical analysis of ocean leading industry association effect of the threeindustries. The ocean transportation industry has a strong correlation effects. Anddifferent ocean leading industry have different driving effect to different oceanindustry, but the driving role are all strong, which indicate ocean leading industryhave strong effect to ocean economy. All of these can provide a theoretical basis forthe cultivation of marine industrial structure optimization and the nurture and fosterOceanic leading industry.Thirdly, construction of evaluation System of the economic effects by the oceanleading industries: learning from the theory of economic effects by leading industry athome and abroad, combined with other industries-economic-effects, buildcomprehensive evaluation system of ocean leading industries-economic-effects. Givefull play to the characteristics of the leading industries, and ultimately realize theoptimization and upgrading of the marine industry structure.
Keywords/Search Tags:marine leading industry, economic effect, error correctionmodel, VAR model
PDF Full Text Request
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