Based On The Decoupling Theory Analysis Of The Carbon Emissions

Today, the development of low-carbon economy has become theworld’ consensus. Due to the high-carbon energy structure the highenergy intensity, and the rapid economic growth,China’s carbon emission increases quickly. Therefore the pressure of carbon reductionincreased day by day. Energy saving and emission reduction hasbecome one of the key elements of The Twelfth Five-Year Plan forNational Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republicof China. And carbon reduction becomes a hot spot of economicresearch.Firstly, the thesis discusses the significance of the carbonreduction from the perspective of the mainstream trend ofdeveloping low-carbon economy, the realistic demand of energyconservation, and the application of the decoupling model theory.Secondly, from the analysis of the relationship between environmentand economic development, the author reviews the decoupling model’s developing path. Thereafter the author highlights the OECD andTapio’s discourses on decoupling index as well as domestic research.The thesis builds a“carbon emissions-energy consumption-industrial added value-the actual economic output” causal chain for nationaleconomy, basing on the three industries and important carbonemissions economy division, and as carbon emissions for the pressureon the environment variables, as the actual economic output of thedriving factors, tectonic a decoupling model to calculate the differentobjects of decoupling indicators.The study shows that the overall relation between China’seconomic growth and carbon emissions is in a weak decoupling state . However, Secondary industry and Tertiary industry decouplingindex have shown the decoupling trend, which the production andmanufacturing industry of the water, gas and electricity, light industry, heavy industry, construction industry, transportation andwarehousing industry have been decoupled, but most decouplingindex is weak decoupling. The regularity of decoupling index of wholesale and retail trade and mining sectors is not obvious, and don’tshow a decoupling trend. Through the analyzing of the two factors ofcarbon emissions and economic output, generally, the real outputgrowth rate is higher than the growth rate of carbon emissions.Second industrial has the highest carbon emission intensity and themost total carbon emissions. The extractive industries, especiallynon-ferrous metal mining industry is still in the extensive growth. Alarger proportion of carbon emissions are from heavy and chemical industries. The electricity production industry decoupled obviously.Developing of clean energy can produce huge space for carbonemissions reduction. The construction industry emissions are small.The tertiary industry emission reduction is relatively easy, due to theincrease of secondary energy consumption. The first industry produced less carbon emissions, and did not decoupled obviously. Theconsumer is not only presents the high carbonation trend, since Chinaadopted the policies to stimulate consumption, residents’ totalconsumption will increase rapidly. Pressure to reduce emissions willdefinitely grow. Heavy and chemical industries with lowtechnological level and low energy efficiency moved up the wholecountry carbon emission intensity. The high-carbon energy structuralfeature is one of the reasons for the higher strength and total carbon emissions in China. Carbon finance, did not take full advantage of thefinancing potential of energy saving technology, energy-savingprograms.Finally, according to the above analysis, the author proposed carbon emission reduction policies and measures. It is promoting agricultural industrialization, development of ecological agriculture,increasing forest carbon sinks; promoting technological innovation;improving the efficiency of resource exploitation; standardizing andregulating non-ferrous metal mining; promoting the heavy chemicalindustry energy saving and emission reduction; implying of thediversification of the energy structure; promoting the diversificationof the energy structure; developing clean energy;promoting personallow-carbon consumption; developing low-carbon tertiary industry;promoting the development of carbon finance for providing financialsupport to emission reduction.