Carbon Emissions And Economic Growth In Henan Elastic Decoupling Decomposition Analysis

Henan Province is located in the central region of our country. It is a traditional agricultural province. Since the reform and opening up, especially since entering the new century, Henan province’s industrial economic growth rapidly. The industrial added value reached1.4402trillion Yuan in2011, accounting for about53%of GDP. The rapid growth of industrial economy also makes the energy consumption, especially consumption of coal increased substantially. A large number of coal-fired will produce large amounts of carbon emissions, which result in Henan Province in recent years, the carbon emissions per unit of GDP is far higher than the national mean. According to the State Council ""12th Five-Year Plan " greenhouse gas emission control program ", in2015,the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP of Henan province should decrease17%compared to the year2010. Therefore, Henan will face a larger binding emission reduction in the future development, the ambient pressure of rapid economic growth facing will increase further. In view of this, in-depth study and find out the main factors of carbon emissions reduction on economic growth in Henan Province, and effectively resolve, it has very important theory meaning and realistic meaning.In addition to the first chapter, the main content of this paper includes the following five parts:the first part is the second chapter, which is the theoretical basis of. Based on the accurate definition of the core concepts of decoupling, decoupling elasticity and so on, this part focuses on the causal chain decomposition of carbon emissions and economic growth decoupling elasticity. By adding the gross value of industrial output, energy consumption and other variables, we decompose the decoupling elasticity for emission reduction elasticity, energy-saving elasticity and value creation elasticity. The second part is the third chapter and the fourth chapter, which is the empirical analysis of Henan Province. In this part, the author takes Henan Province as a sample; studies the influence factors of decoupling elasticity between carbon emissions and the economic growth in Henan province, and reached the following conclusions:(1) In the past ten years, Henan province has obvious energy-saving effect, energy elasticity is the continuous thrust to achieve the decoupling between carbon emissions and economic growth.(2) The value creation elasticity of Henan province is the main factor that hinders the decoupling. The proportion of industry, especially heavy industry in the economy is gradually increased.(3) The reduction elasticity is the most unstable factor, and the emission reduction elasticity has a great impact on the change of overall decoupling elasticity. The third part is the fifth chapter. This part is an extension of the conclusion of the second part——The value creation elasticity of Henan province is the main factor that hinders the decoupling. The proportion of industry, especially heavy industry in the economy is gradually increased. For the purpose of this chapter to adjust the industrial structure, the author constructs a DEA model, introduces undesirable output variable—CO2. Under the constraint of Emission reduction targets, this paper makes the efficiency analysis of the38industry sectors of industry of Henan Province. According to the results of the efficiency value, the author thinks that adjustment of industry and increase efficiency in the future, Henan province should make the following choices:A part of industry needs to expand the scale in order to improve efficiency, such as coal mining and dressing industry; A part of industry needs to improve technology, such as metal manufacturing; A part of industry needs to double its, such as food manufacturing; There are some industries need to shrink, reduce investment, such as non-metallic mineral products industry, etc.. Therefore, Henan province should adjust industry based on the industry’s own characteristics, but not make it rigidly uniform in the future. The fourth part is the sixth chapter, countermeasures and suggestions. In view of the above research conclusion, the author puts forward the implementations of achieving the decoupling between carbon emissions and economic growth, achieving emission reduction targets, mainly including: keeping the advantage of energy-saving, improve energy efficiency; transforming the mode of development, adjust the industrial structure, developing low-power, high-value-added strategic emerging industries positively; putting the emission reduction on the most important position developing low-carbon economy; adjusting the industrial structure, concrete analysis of concrete industry. The fifth part is the seventh chapter which is a summary of the full text and the outlook for further research.The main innovation of this article is:The existing research on the issue of "decoupling" lack of studying on provincial economy, especially lacking analysis of the output efficiency of the industrial sector in Henan Province under the constraint of Emission reduction targets. On the basis of theoretical analysis, this paper uses econometric model, find out the main factors of influencing the decoupling between economic growth and the carbon emission in Henan province. And on this basis, the author does the research of output efficiency about38departments of industry in Henan province. In the carbon emission constraint, and puts forward some concrete ideas and suggestions on the adjustment of industrial structure.