The Periodic Fluctuation Of China’s Economy Influence Factor Analysis

Economic cycle theory has a long history, an important theoretical basis of themacroeconomic dynamics of long-term dynamic changes of the major studies ofeconomic growth, to explore the changes in the same law, to provide a basis to predictfuture economic development and economic policies.Since China founding, it has been accompanied with economic fluctuations,showing difference before and after the reform. The national economy is a complex,systematic, comprehensive and collection of factors that affect the economy runningcomplexly, in the formulation of economic policy our government must be good graspof the primary and secondary factors, a good grasp of priorities which will fit thecurrent economic situation and promote macro-economic development..China’seconomic growth can cause Granger consumption and government finance; toconsider from the angle of impact, investment, foreign trade, the impact ofgovernment spending on economic growth at the beginning of reaction there are somedifferences, the investment is the role of small, trade is a positive contribution, thecontribution of government expenditure is negative, but have certain things incommon after the role of time and trends, and disappeared in the contribution of thefifth near the highest point in three. Consumption have their own unique place to playthe role on the economic impact of role before the three are the third is negative,while the later two reaches a high point, play a role in the period The other threepolicy inconsistencies, work time is short, but also other policies to achieve the highpoint to a negative role. In addition, through the decomposition of fat poor, severalratios are stabilized in the long run, but the proportion of the contribution rate ofconsumption of economic fluctuations is the highest, and several other indicators ofthe contribution ratio is close to and very far and consumption. domestic monitoringand warning system and national early warning system, the establishment of anintegrated observation mode, while increasing the inputs and the degree of attentionof the main factors.