The Income Gap Between Urban And Rural Areas In Zhejiang Province Treatment Research

This article consists of seven chapters:chapter1is the introduction, which demonstrates research background and significance, domestic and abroad relevant researches and the research thoughts. Chapter2is the formation mechanism of urban-rural income gap. Reveal the urban-rural income gap theoretical formation mechanism from aspects of non-institutional and institutional factors on the basis of analyzing urban-rural income gap status. Then construct urban-rural income gap formation mechanism model. Chapter3is the study of urban-rural income gap moderation evaluation system. Based on defining the meaning of urban-rural income gap moderation and propose criteria for it, we build an evaluation index system and propose a method to measure the moderation of urban-rural income gap. Chapter4is the early warning research of urban-rural income gap moderation. Build an early warning system for the urban-rural income gap moderation in accordance of defining the warning situation, finding the warning sources, analyzing the warning signs, determining the warning lines and forecasting warning degree. Then construct the early warning model for urban-rural income gap moderation from single index warning and comprehensive index warning aspects, and construct the forecast mechanism by using grey prediction method. Chapter5is the empirical analysis of this article. We calculate the affect degree and contribution rate of each factor and reveal the mechanism of urban-rural income gap. Then use statistical data to calculate and evaluate the moderation of Zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap. Based on them, we use single index early warning method and comprehensive index warning method to do early warning analysis for the present situation of zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap moderation. Finally, we use grey prediction method to forecast the trend of zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap moderation. Chapter6concludes the study conclusions, puts forward some policy suggestions and gives the future research direction.The conclusions of this article are as follows:Conclusion1:the result of zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap present situation analysis shows that even though zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap increased in1990-2010, it still smaller than the national average level.From the view of horizontal comparison, it can be seen that Zhejiang’s absolute difference between urban and rural residents’income is bigger than the national average level. While Zhejiang’s relative urban-rural income gap is smaller than the national average level. From the view of vertical comparison, it can be found that Zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap was continually widening from1990to2010.Conclusion2:the results of urban-rual income gap formation mechanism analysis show that economic growth, urbanization rate, urban-rural initial endowment gap, urban-rural dual structure have significant positive effects on the urban-rural income gap, urban-rural financial development gap has significant negative effect while urban-rural human capital gap, the proportion of agricultural support expenditures, the proportion of rural fixed assets investment do not have significant effects. From the view of influence degree and contribution rate, the factor which has the greatest positive impact and makes the largest positive contribution is urbanization rate, the next are economic growth and urban-rural dual structure, the smallest is the urban-rural initial endowment gap while urban-rural financial development gap has a relative large negative impact and makes a relative large negative contribution.Conclusion3:Conclusion3:from the view of urban-rural income gap moderation evaluation index, zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap coordinates slightly with its economic and social development system, economic growth system, source allocation efficiency system, income distribution equity system and social stability system on the whole.1990-2010, the averages of zhejiang’s static and dynamic urban-rural income gap moderation evaluation indexes were in weak moderate and weak immoderate conditions respectively. While the grey correlation degrees between urban-rural income gap and classification subsystems were in weak moderate interval on the whole. The urban-rural income gap moderation evaluation index (static, dynamic), the correlation coefficients between urban-rural income gap and classification subsystems increased in1990-2000. The moderation of zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap improved. What’s a pity is that the indexes mentioned above were all decreased in2001-2010, the moderation of zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap deteriorated.Conclusion4:from the view of dynamic urban-rural income gap moderation evaluation index, zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap is in a slight inappropriate track with its economic and social system. In1990-1996, the urban-rural income gap fluctuated between moderate inappropriate and slight inappropriate interval, the fluctuation range is comparatively large; in1997-2010, the dynamic urban-rural income gap moderation evaluation index fluctuated in0.61-0.66, the fluctuation range is comparatively small, the moderation need to be further improved.Conclusion:the early warning result of urban-rural income gap moderation show that zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap moderation is in a light warning condition and the moderation of zhjiang’s urban-rural income gap will improve with small amplitudes in2011-2015. From the view of comprehensive early warning index, the average of comprehensive early warning index is in light warning condition. From the view of single index early warning result, the averages of static and dynamic urban-rural income gap moderation indexes were in non-waming and light warning condition respectively. While the averages of warning sign indexes were in non-warning condition. The result of early warning of urban-rural income gap moderation shows that the static and dynamic urban-rural income gap moderation indexes will increase with small amplitudes in2011-2015and keep in non-warning condition. While the comprehensive early warning index decrease and keeps in light warning condition. Compared with2010, the early warning condition of zhejiang’s urban-rural income gap improve, but the speed of improvement is relative slow.The mainly innovation points of this paper are:firstly, this paper defines the meaning of urban-rural income gap appropriateness and proposes criteria for it from aspects of economic growth, resource allocation efficiency, income distribution fairness and social stability. It is scientific in some certain and it matches the actual condition of China. What’s more, it complies with the requirement of the concrete analysis. Secondly, corresponding to the meaning of appropriate urban-rural income gap, this article constructs urban-rural income gap appropriateness evaluation index system from aspects of urban-rural income gap, economic growth, resource allocation efficiency, income distribution fairness and social stability. It is a relatively complete index system. Thirdly, this article puts forward a method to measure the appropriateness of urban-rural income gap. Factor analysis method has been used to calculate all kinds of evaluation indexes, and grey correlation model has been used to calculate static and dynamic urban-rural income gap appropriateness evaluation indexes.