Research On The Strategy Of National Grain Security Based On Analysis Of Differences Of Grain Production Capacity In Different Major Grain Producing Areas

Agriculture is the foundation industry of the world, grain is the importantstrategic materials that protect people’s livelihood and promote development, grainsecurity or not related to long period stability of a country. The major grain producingareas which are responsible for the most task of grain production of China, play adecisive role in the pattern of grain production in China and are the core strength toensure national grain security. Once the main grain producing areas emergingquestions, it will directly endanger the country’s grain security and social stability.With the development of industrialization and urbanization, China was once appearedthe agricultural lands occupied, the arable land significantly reduced, etc, which hasseriously affected the grain yield, grain production is extremely unfavorable,especially in southern China, due to lower comparative benefit, arable land isappropriated for other purposes, these are undoubtedly serious waste of waterresources and hot light of Southern land. North-South differences of climate in Chinais very large, economy and other social conditions are different, this decision the grainproduction capacity of the provinces in the major grain producing areas are different.In order to complete the national grain production task, ensure national grain security,how to improve our country’s grain production capacity, how to distribute grainproduction in three main areas, how to efficiently use limited land resources toproduce more grain, is the content of this paper to study.This paper based on the perspective of different grain production capacity ofdifferent major grain-producing areas, to ensure the national grain security for the task,research on the following contents: 1. To analyze the current situation and existing problems of China’s nationalgrain security. The grain situation in China at present is basically supply and demandbalanced, but the balance is tight. The task to ensure grain security is still arduous, wecannot relax, the grain production capacity steady improved, but there are still a seriesof problems.2. To analyze the grain production status of major grain producing areas, toanalyze the basic production conditions including natural conditions and socialeconomic conditions of different major grain production areas. And analyze theoverall situation of China’s grain production in the two aspects of total grain yield,sown area of grain and then analyze the11provinces of major grain-producing areasfrom the two aspects, to grasp the overall production situation in major grainproducing areas in the recent twenty years.3. To analyze the comparative advantage of different grain varieties of differentgrain producing areas, using the average of2001to2010data, application of model tocalculate the comprehensive comparative advantage index, calculate the suitablecultivation of grain crops in various provinces. The advantage variety of Liaoning iscorn, Jilin are corn and beans, Heilongjiang are corn and beans, Hebei, Shandong andHenan are wheat and corn, Jiangsu are rice and wheat, Anhui are wheat, rice andbeans. Jiangxi, Hubei and Hunan are rice. These analysis provide the basis of thefollow-up strategy.4. To create the index system which impact on grain production capacity withapplication of factor analysis, using software of SPSS to calculate the composite scoreof the comprehensive grain production capacity of the eleven provinces, and to sort, tocome to the comprehensive rank of grain production capacity in the provinces:Henan> Heilongjiang> Shandong> Hebei> Anhui> Jiangsu> Hubei> Hunan> Jilin>Jiangxi> Liaoning, in order to propose the follow-up strategy.5. Based on the above analysis, put forward policy strategy to ensure nationalgrain security: Strict farmland protection policy, ensure the grain crops sown area ofthe main grain producing areas. Increase the intensity of food subsidies, improve thefarmers’ enthusiasm. Giving full play to the comparative advantages of crops of each province, suit its measures to local conditions, and provide favorable policies toencourage the dominant species. To mobilize grain production in the areas of strongcapacity of grain production, increase the grain production task of the Huang Huaihaiareas and the Yangtze River areas, ease the task of grain production of the threenortheastern provinces.