S Company Spare Parts Dmand Forecasting Managent Research

With the development of economic globalization,market competition, how to make the enterprise long-term management,sustainable development has become a topic of great concern to entrepreneurs. A part of enterprise spare parts management is essential in the development of enterprise, directly related with enterprise daily working and economical profits. However, due to the consumption of spare parts can not be predicted correctly.Spare parts management often troubled enterprise manager.Execess reserve, to ensure production running normally but occupy more capital. To prepare less, it will lead to production line stop, Order delievery delays, customer satisfaction decreased, lost the chance of participating in market competition.S company is a foreign-owned enterprise, mainly focusing on stamping metal parts used for Mobile Phone. With growth of company and sales increasing, product lines will add continouly; the tools of products increased more, the related spare parts demand increased.In the meanwhile, with a stable increase of spare parts demand, spare parts demand management has been a problem in S company. One is the short of spare parts diretly causing line stop, order delayed, another is the excess of dull stocks in warehouse. How to balance the two aspects has become a research topic.In view of the above problem,this paper takes S company as a case to study the management of spare parts demand forecasting, analysis of demand management problem, collecting the spare parts consumption data, determine the forecast target, through quantitative prediction models for S company, and validate the model practicability to guild the actual order. At the same time from system management, staffing to ensure that the prediction method of execution in practice, so as to achieve the purpose of the solving the problem.