Research On The Impact Of Local Economic By The Development Of The Export-oriented Economy In The Northern Of Anhui Province

Northern of Anhui province is one of the most important parts in Anhui province. It is an important grain production area, an energy and material base. It has a large population and vast area, whose development affects the speed of Anhui province economic development and the depth of the construction of a harmonious society. In2008Anhui provincial party committee and provincial government issued "Several policy recommendations to speed up the development of the Northern of Anhui province and cities along the Huai ", and in2010Anhui provincial party committee and provincial government formally issued "Several opinions about further accelerating the development of Northern of Anhui province. Also in2012Anhui provincial party committee and provincial government introduced a""twelfth five-year" plan to speed up the development of Northern of Anhui province ". The series of actions are major strategic initiatives to carry out the scientific development concept and to promote the coordinated regional development."Twelfth five-year" is the golden time of development to Northern of Anhui province, for there are unprecedented opportunities to accelerate the development. From the aspect of macro policies, the country further implement the strategy of promoting the rise of the central region and central plains economic zone construction, and Anhui province take the plan of accelerating the development of northern of Anhui province as the outstanding position in regional development strategy, giving special policy support. From the aspect of industrial relocation, as the in-depth development of economic globalization, the trend of the developed coastal areas transferring their industry to the inland area is obvious, and Wanjiang Demonstration Zone’s leading position continues to strengthen, and the north-south regional cooperation continued to deepen. All these will exert northern of Anhui province comparative advantage, to actively undertake industrial transfer, and to comprehensively promote the open economy development and the development level. From the stage of development, Northern of Anhui province is in the stage of the accelerating development of the industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization. Their continuing investment effects continuously release, its external image gradually ascends, and its comparative advantage and the advantage backwardness are increasingly highlighted.On the research of the export-oriented economy, from different angles, economists discuss the factors’effect in the economy growth of one country, such as export-oriented foreign trade, foreign investment. On this basis, they take experience and empirical analysis on the impact of several indicators to economic growth. Export-oriented economy’s promoting effect on economic growth has been demonstrated. At present, the domestic and foreign scholars’study of Northern of Anhui economy is more on qualitative analysis, especially there is none of the quantitative study of export-oriented economy development in the Northern of Anhui economy yet. Although the Northern of Anhui Province economy is an inland area, and the overall scale of export-oriented economy development is not large, but its effect on economic growth is indisputable.This assay takes the export-oriented economic development of the Northern of Anhui Province as the theme, and uses the method of literature study and the method of normative analysis and empirical analysis to make research. Firstly, to elaborate the basic theory of export-oriented economy, on the basis of these basic theories of implementing the strategy of export-oriented economy, combined with the characters of economic resources, to introduce general situation of the development of national economy and export-oriented economy development situation in the Northern of Anhui Province. Secondly, from Anhui statistical yearbook and statistical bulletin of the national economy and social development of municipal query the export-oriented economic data of the Northern of Anhui Province:exports, imports, the actual use of foreign investment. From the vertical (time) and horizontal (Northern of Anhui Province and Anhui Province), this assay makes analysis and comparison of export-oriented economy in the Northern of Anhui Province. I find that the rate of total foreign trade volume and the accounts of the usage of foreign investment in the Northern of Anhui Province to that of Anhui province, couldn’t achieve the proportion of gross domestic product (GDP) in the Northern of Anhui Province to the gross domestic product (GDP) in Anhui province. As a result, I can say that the development of export-oriented economic in the Northern of Anhui Province is far lower than the average level in Anhui province. Also I calculate several measure indexes of the export-oriented economy in the Northern of Anhui Province, to analyze and measure the gap between in the Northern of Anhui Province and the Anhui Province respectively from the vertical (time) and horizontal (between northern of Anhui Province and Anhui Province). Thirdly, this assay selects gross domestic product (GDP) to measure the development of national economy of the Northern of Anhui Province. Therefore this assay uses the data of import, export, the actual use of foreign investment and gross domestic product (GDP) to analyze, to use the ADF method for time sequence series to take stationary test, and to use Johansen cointegration test method for sequence of time series to take cointegration test, and finally to establish error correction model, and take Granger Test, to verify that the export-oriented economy will accelerate the local economy of the Northern of Anhui Province. Fourth, on the basis of the foreword quantitative analysis, this assay combines with qualitative analysis method, to analyze the characters of positive impact and negative impact of export-oriented economic development on the local economy in the positive impact and negative impact. Finally, according to the conclusions of the model and the impact analysis, for the better development of export-oriented economy in the Northern of Anhui Province, so as to improve the level of Anhui economy as a whole, this assay puts forward some suggestions, from these aspects of enlarging the scale of foreign trade, expanding the scale of investment and capital introduction,making the development of humanities landscape to attract foreign tourists and actively carrying out international cooperation.