Empirical Analysies On Investment And Financing Of The Culture Industry In Jilin Province

In the cultural industries flourish situation, During the’Twelfth Five-Year" period, under the guidance of the national and local industrial policy and development planning, there is a huge space for development and potential of the cultural industry in Jilin Province.This article will examine the perspective defined in Jilin Province, The research perspectives define at the the prediction of the demand and supply of the cultural industries assets in the "Twelfth Five-Year" period in Jilin province, combined with the regional economics, finance, econometrics theories of knowledge to research the Fixed asset investment demand and supply in the "Twelfth Five-Year", the HP filter method and exponential smoothing methods were used to predict the demand and supply of funds, and design the funding gap in the balanced perspective, According to the conclusion,and comined with the macroeconomics measures raise the policy safeguards to support the cultural industries.in order to help the relevant departments to establish a new financing ideas and new financing channels of the cultural industry in Jilin Province, to create favorable conditions for the rapid and healthy development of the industry.This article deals with the study and forecast of demand and supply of fixed assets investment of the cultural industries in Jilin Province by empirical research methods. Firstly, according to the target value of cultural industry output during the "Twelfth Five-Year"period, through the HP filter method estimates the potential economic output in the "Twelfth Five-Year" period, and then create potential economic output and fixed asset investment in the first-order linear regression equation. at the "Twelfth Five-Year" period of cultural industries in Jilin Province. the demand for investment in fixed assets amounted to275.578billion yuan, an average annual growth rate of15.1%, slightly lower than the "Eleventh Five-Year" period, the average annual growth rate is about17.3%. Secondly, use the non-seasonal factors exponential smoothing model to predict the investment in fixed assets, at this unchanged economic conditions, the "Twelfth Five-Year" period, the fixed assets investment funds supply is263.841billion of the cultural industry in Jilin Province, an average annual growth rate of13.6%, based on the balance of supply and demand perspective, the "Twelfth Five-Year" period, the funding gap is about11.737billion yuan, finally, Jilin Province planning period macroeconomic situation and policy oriented, respectively, according the macroeconomics policies,from the four aspects:government budget investment, domestic loans, foreign investment, self-financing and other investments to explore the potential, During the "Twelfth Five-Year" period, the funding gap through the financing channels can be completed,at last, combined the social and economic development surroudings in Jilin Province, make the policy recommendations on the development of the cultural industry in Jilin Province.