The Impact Of Demographic Dividend’s Recession On Manufacturing Exports Of Anhui Province

Due to the China’s reform and opening up the past three decades have witnessed that the economy achieved rapid development. In the meantime, the age structure of China’s population shows new features:the adequate supply of working-age population and the low proportion of low-old child dependency. The advantage of demographic dividend have greatly promoted China’s economic growth. As China’s most populated province, the population structure of Anhui also has such a feature. The demographic dividend promotes the economic development of Anhui Province in the past decades, especially for the manufacturing industry and exports. Manufacturing industry is the pillar industry in the industry of Anhui province, it made great contributions to the foreign exchange earning of export in Anhui province. The rapid development of manufacturing industry promote the rapid growth of the manufacturing exports at the same time. The traditional manufacturing industry in Anhui province need to invest large amount of labor, as a result, the demographic dividend in Anhui province has greatly promoted the development and export of manufacturing industry.However, at this stage, as the elderly population increases and the elderly dependency ratio rises, the advantage of The demographic dividend is being weakening slowly over all the country, which no doubt will take an adverse effect on the economy of china including Anhui province. As a result, the manufacturing industry of Anhui province is encountering a servere situation. This paper studies on the project that how the weakening situation of demographic dividend will effect the manufacturing industry of Anhui province and what will be the the rational ways to solve the questions. The article describes the defination and development of the demographic dividend and the status of its recession, the current situation of the manufacturing industry of Anhui province and the effect the decline of the demographic dividend takes on the development of manufacturing exports in Anhui province, and the analysis on how to avoid the negative impact that the decline of the demographic dividend takes on the development of manufacturing exports. The highlight of the thesis in this article is to associate the characteristics of the development and recession of the demographic dividend in Anhui province with manufacturing industry development in Anhui province, and take the systematic research and analysis on what influence the change of the demographic dividend in Anhui province has on manufacturing exports. There is some study of the demographic dividend in Anhui province and the demographic dividend’s influence on the economy in Anhui province, but the study what combine both the demographic dividend recession in Anhui province and manufacturing export of Anhui province is seldom to see, this is the original ideas of this article. This Articles have taken the ways of the systems analysis, comparative analysis and empirical analysis. Involving multiple branch of economics, this study mainly include labor economics, macroeconomics, microeconomics, development economics and education economics, economics of population and so on, attempt to explore some regular characteristics of the development of the demographic dividend and the impact of dividend recession on the manufacturing industry in Anhui province. At the same time, both in the study of demographic dividend in Anhui province and research on manufacturing exports in Anhui province in the article has multiple longitudinal comparison of historical data, the conclusions are from the results of data analysis. In some arguments, this article demonstrate the results from the model analysis, reasonable and justified. The creative achievements of this article is to absorb nutrients from the school of economics and other subjects, changing the way of thinking which just study on the issue of demographic dividend from the perspective of the labor population bonus issue, this articles has combine a variety of ways of analysis to study systematically on the issue of the impact demographic dividend has takes on manufacturing exports of Anhui province. And on the basis of sufficient theoretical analysis, this artical put forward practical Suggestions and comments on how to avoid the decay of demographic dividend in Anhui province’s bringing negative effect on manufacturing...