Study On The Commercial House Price From The Perspective Of City Coordinated Development

Under the background of the global sustainable development strategy, the Chinesecities have emerged into the diversified development stage. And there have sprungout several new concepts of city development in the twenty-first Century, such asthe sustainable city and the livable city. All the views request the harmony, unityand coordination development among the economy, society, population, resourcesand environment. The residential property has a closely relationship with all thecity’s subsystems. In recent years, the discussion that high housing price restrictsthe construction of livable city has appeared frequently in the media and forums.Facing to the doubts about house price, how should the government develop theresidential basic price level? And how do the consumers judge whether a certaincity’s housing price is reasonable or not? This paper attempts to solve theseproblems by finding a new perspective and point for developing commercialhousing price under the goal of city’s coordinated development.In this paper, the write comprehensively uses a lot of theories, includs the housepricing theory, the composite system theory, the coordinated development theory,the coordination theory and the grey system theory, with the aid of statisticalsoftware, gray system modeling software, visio drawing software tools, etc. On theone hand, it qualitatively analyzes the coordinated development mechanismbetween the house price and urban system; on the other hand, it quantitativelyconstructs the dynamic coordinated development model between them. The entireprocess promotes the intercrossing and syncretizing among different subjects, andalso expanded the extension of theories. The government, developers andconsumers can make more significant decisions with the help of the research results.Firstly, the author widely read the domestic and foreign literatures to find themeaningful research directions about the city construction and real estate industry.Secondly, it systematically analyzes the formation mechanism of the house priceand how the city’s coordinated development effect the house price. On the basis ofthe above, it establishes the "commercial housing-City" composite system, andalso explores the coordination mechanism including the transmit structure, thefunction, the derivative power and the evolution model. All of these will support thefurther studies. Thirdly, regarding the house price as the dominant factor, itconstructs a GM (1, N) dynamic coordinated development model of the commercialhouse, which has two aspects of measuring function, includs the comprehensivedevelopment level and the degree of coordinated development.. Finally, it takes the Shanghai city as an example, demonstrates the construction process of housingprice model, and predicts the commercial house price from2011to2015.Studying the commercial house’s GM(1,N) dynamic model of coordinateddevelopment of Shanghai, we can know that among all the related factors, theresidential demand and supply, economic structure and benefit, population structureand quality, city construction, quality of life, environmental carrying capacity havea stimulative effect on the commercial house price. And other factors, such as theeconomic aggregate, population quantity, resource consumption, resourcedevelopment, environmental loss and environmental governance have an inhibitoryeffect on the price. The government could find the most directive and effective waysto control the housing price according to the correlation factors’ influence directionand magnitude on the commercial house price.