Forcasing Of Obtain Employment Of Shandong Province That Based On Regression Analysis And Analysis Of Data Distortion

The people’s livelihood, means the fundamental condition of people’s llife,and the fundamental chance of people’s development、 fundamental ability of development and the protect of fundamental legal right. The stabilization of the people’s livelihood is the fundamental of development of the country.The obtain employment is the fundamental of the people’s livelihood. The stable of the people’s livelihood is the fundamental of the progressing of the country’s development work.The text research and analysis the people’s livelihood from1997to2010,and analysis the variety of the employed population of Shandong Province in the14years systemly,then on the foundation of the policy of our country and Shandong government,then use the Grey relational analysis and Principal component analysis picked out the factors that affect the population of the obtain employment,and build a multiple linear regression predict model of the obtain employment.The model is: y=1.665535x10.485149x2-0.213617x3-1.584715x40.332584x50.547853x60.701995x7-0.196338x8-0.080111x110.033616x120.192723y represents the mount of obtain employment, x1, represents the total output of the first industry, x2represents the total output of the second industry, x3the total output of the third industry, x4represents local fiscal expenditure, x5represents the output of the industrial, x6represents total retail sales of social consumer goods, x7represents the investment in the fixed assets of state-owned economy, x8represents the investment in the fixed assets of the collective economy, x11, represents foreign investment, x12represents loan balance of finacial institutions.If the policy of the obtain employment will not change in the future,we can use the model that have build to predict the population of the obtain employment of Shandong Province.The model that have build has some theoretical and practical value,and provide some consult for the predict of obtain employment and the government decision-making. The data the text used rooted in statistical yearbook of Shandong Province,the data was collected in some methods,and in the process of data collecting,the data distortion can’t be avoided,so the text analysis the data distortion in brief at last.