The Research To The Influential Factors Of The Rural Surplus Labor Transfer In Xinjiang

To solve the problem of the "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" is the key to the realization of thefarmers’ income, the development of new rural construction and the agricultural modernization, and thebasic way to solve the problem of the "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" is to promote the developmentintegration of the urban and the rural,and to promote the urban and rural public resources equal exchangeand equilibrium configuration. Therefore, the labor resources as a production factor, how to realize itsrational allocation between the urban and the rural areas, which is the key to realize the developmentintegration of the urban and the rural, The purpose of this article is based on the condition of the ruralsurplus labor transfer in parsing in xinjiang, to provide decision-making reference accord with the xinjianglocal rural surplus labor transfer policy.In this paper, the research of the rural surplus labor transfer influence factor mainly has two aspects,which are the theory and empirical analysis. The theory is based on the dual economic structure theory, thepush-pull theory, the human capital investment,to analysis and summary the policy evolution, the presentsituation and the existing problems of the rural surplus labor force in xinjiang; The empirical part mainlyuses the average output value calculation method, the multiple linear regression model and the quantileregression method, to estimate the number of the rural surplus labor force in xinjiang and to analyzes theinfluence degree of the various factors, combined with the causes analysis of the rural surplus labor force inxinjiang, to put forward to improve the rural surplus labor own quality level, strengthen the reform of thesystem, strengthen the transfer space capacity and other measures to promote to transfer healthy andorderly of the rural surplus labor in xinjiang.This article research conclusion: The first, the mechanization degree is increasingly improved inxinjiang, the highlight capital advantage replaced more Labour, and improves the first industry laborproductivity, therefore, the formation of the rural surplus labor force become inevitable in xinjiang; Inaddition, because the small demand elasticity of agricultural products, leading to the farmers’ incomegrowth slowly, finally, expanded the income gap between the urban and the rural areas, and the empiricalresults show that the narrowing the income gap between the urban and the rural areas and strengthen theemployment awareness of the ethnic minority can promote the rural surplus labor transfer in xinjiang; Thesecond, the institutional change index has a positive relationship for the rural surplus labor transfer inXinjiang, and with the improvement of the quantiles, the influence of the institutional change index isincreasing, therefore, the high residual phase, to enhance the free movement degree of the labour, improvethe rate of urbanization and the non-state sector employment, in order to promote the rural surplus labortransfer faster in xinjiang; The third, the tertiary industry internal structure is unreasonable in xinjiang,embodied in the internal structure of the first industry is single, the second industry appears "heavy"industrialization and the tertiary industry develops slowly, these factors greatly narrowed the transfer spaceof the rural surplus labor in xinjiang, through the empirical analysis shows that in the high residual phase,optimizing the proportion of the tertiary industry output value structure and the employment structure, theimplementation of a new road to industrialization, and in the low residual phase, reducing the urbanunemployment registered rate and to increase the per capita arable land area and the control of the naturalpopulation growth rate, in order to increase the labor transfer space, to promote the rural surplus labortransfer in xinjiang.