The Influence Of Anti-dumping And Construction Of Early Warning System On Iron And Steel Industry

With the rapid growth of China’s export trade, the number of anti-dumpingsuffered substantial increase gradually evolved as a mean of trade protection,anti-dumping, the negative impact on China’s economy becomes more obvious.This article will be a combination of current problems and empirical models,from the pespective of foreign anti-dumping Theory Review, Analysis, the causes andimpact of anti-dumping on Chinese steel industry and causes, the essay will fulfill adetailed analysis. At last, based on Sino-US steel trade, succesfully set up aearly-warning system make policy recommendations.Found by studying the data from1999to2009, China has become the mostserious country suffered in the globle anti-dumping investigations on iron and steelindustry. Serious trade friction through effects of trade and non-trade effect, create aserious impediment to the export of Chinese products, the impact of the domesticmarket, deterioration of the investment environment in China, hindering the processof China’s industrial restructuring and technological transformation.In this paper, study the China foreign steel anti-dumping situation and combinedwith the status analysis, accomplish the concept of early warning mechanism ofanti-dumping and early warning model of iron and steel industry.Combined themethod of macroeconomic analysis and illustrations modus, and summarized thereasons and the current situation of foreign anti-dumping as the basis of the WarningModel, establish the early warning indicator system from three angles of the nationalmacroeconomic conditions, bilateral trade friction and industrial material injury.Afterwards,combined with measurement, principal component analysis toconsummate the establishment of early warning models.In order to test the validity of the model, based on analysing the data from1999to2010on Sino-US steel trade, establish of Sino-US Steel warning system; In the end,succesfully forecast the anti-dumping case number for2011, the predicted results inthe line with reality.