Research And Application Of Safety Risk Prediction In Urban Rail Transit Operation Areas

Most cities hanve been run metro, and it belongs to intensive public places. It will have asignificant impact on society if security incidents occurded. Therefore, ensure the safety of metrobecome the primary focus of the work. The relative lack of ability of operation safety anagementbecause of most urban rail transit projects are new or renovation. The use of new technology,adding new staff, local social instability and network operation has brought new challenges tometro operation safety management.Security risk prediction is one of the core works of metro safety control work. MetroOperation historical events and data, security operations management experience and expertisein the field of safety of metro operation are important part of risk prediction. Metro operation ishighly specialized, sophisticated equipment and technology, hugely of the number of passengers,so it is difficult to predict risk. This is a typical expression of the reasoning process of theuncertainty of knowledge, and depends on the development of the world’s intelligence theory.Application of advanced theoretical to model metro operation safety will greatly increase thelevel of security risk prediction.Security management work must be adapted to the requirements of the new era of enterprise.Safety management information system is an important part of security management. Scientificand reasonable to predict and control incidents not only avoid economic losses, but also generateadditional profits. Its position is equal with echnical, financial and other factors. Enterprise canthrough effective management and rational decision analysis to take effective measures toprevent the occurrence of incidents and reduce economic losses. Metro enterprise carring outsafety management information system needs analysis and develop it. The daily safetyinformation is uploaded to SQL Sever database, using safety analysis theory and mathematicalmodels to analyze database and predict incidents trends.Bayesian network is one of the intelligence theories of uncertain knowledge representationand reasoning, and used widely in the military, government, medical, aerospace and other fields.Introducing it to metro operation safety risk prediction, will greatly expand the scope andapplication of theoretical depth. By combining xpert knowledge in the field of metro to predictspecial or overall lever of safety and fining the weakness of safety work.