Risk Analysis About Centration Residential Of Famers In Project Construction Period

Rural concentrated residential areas is one of the key measures to solve the "three rural issues"about the country. Its development is closedly related to the country or region economic. It is the needs of rural farmers and the fruits of development and reform,it also is an important carrier at practicing a socialist new rural construction about "the development of production,wealthy life,the civilization of rural,village and cosmetic,the democratic management".In the process of the rural concentrated residential areas, there is lots of problems leading to risk, before the risk hanpened,using scientific methods to the risk identification and evaluation, and use reasonable and comprehensive risk control measures in the course of project.The main research content of Paper is as following:1. Combined with the relevant national policy and the related research on the project risk management about the domestic and international and the background of domestic farmers concentrated residential areas to detailed analysis for points out the research significance of concentrated residential areas construction period risk;2. Describes the definition and characteristics classification and other related theory about the project’s risk of Farmers concentrated residential areas;3. Related qualitative and quantitative analysis method, analyzes shortcomings, and put forward combining qualitative and quantitative analytic hierarchy proces,then describes the advantages and disadvantages in the process of project evaluation.In order to solve the deficiency of the analytic hierarchy process in the risk assessment system, put forward for the grey comprehensive analysis, last described the theoretical basis;4. Take concentrated residential area about the town of Gongdao at Hanjiang District of Yangzhou City concentrated residential area as an example,first of all, according to the main risk factors in the construction process, by using the method of brainstorming and comparative analysis, analysis of risk factors for the presence or the risk factors which rexistence, and make the preparation of the risk report; secondly apply concentrated in the town fair farmers residential project construction period of the grey comprehensive analysis, establish a risk assessment system, the use of whitening weight function calculated for each risk factor weights according to the weight, size classification risk attribute.According to risk factor weights according to the weight, size classification risk attribute.According to the conclusion of risk evaluation, according to the town fair farmers concentrated residential area project put forward reasonable suggestions and countermeasures;5. To summarize the grey comprehensive analysis, put forward the deficiency, the risk assessment is put forward for the further study of the prospects for the future.