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A Research Of The Impact Of Aging To The Government Human Capital Investment Of Chongqing

Posted on:2016-05-29Degree:MasterType:Thesis
Country:ChinaCandidate:J FanFull Text:PDF
GTID:2297330479983285Subject:Public Management
Abstract/Summary:PDF Full Text Request
In 1999 China entered the aging society, the sixth census data show that, as of November 1, 2010, China’s population over the age of 60 and 65 years old population accounts for 13.26% and 8.87%, China has entered a period of fast development of aging population. In 2011, Chongqing City, the aging of the population rate of 17.25%, higher than the national average of 3.5 percentage points, ranked first in the western region, the national fifth. The city’s elderly population reached 6750000, the aging of the population rate of more than 19% by 2020. Severe aging problem will become more prominent, the impact to the economic development of Chongqing is more obvious. In the human capital has become the social and economic development of the determinants of today, the impact of population aging on human capital investment has become the urgent problem. The aging of the population will prompt the government to focus on investment in education, increase input in medical and health services, education and health capital formation. Therefore, researching the effects of population aging on human capital investment, to undertake the aging opportunities, puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to the impact of population aging on the government human capital investment. In this study, not only has important significance to the development of human capital investment in Chongqing under the background of aging population, but also provides a critical exploration and case entered the aging society the development of human capital investment.Traditional research about the impact of population aging on human capital investment is less, almost all of the research on the economic effects of population aging as a way of influence analysis. In the specific research, many scholars take the human capital investment of narrow sense representation as input in education, the importance of neglect of health capital investment. Therefore, this paper chooses the main aspects of education and health of the two human capital, qualitative analysis of population aging mechanism of education and health capital investment, VAR model of quantitative analysis of effects of population aging in Chongqing based on the human capital investment, the use of population aging on human capital investment to promote the role, strengthen the human capital investment the aging of the population, alleviate the downward pressure on the economy of Chongqing, effectively promoting and maintaining rapid economic development.Firstly, this thesis introduces the research background, research significance, contents and methods; secondly, this paper elaborates the concepts related to the aging of the population and human capital investment and the theoretical basis, analysis of the relevant research at home and abroad, and then puts forward the research topic of this paper; then, the description in the status and characteristics of population aging, the qualitative analysis of Chongqing’s population aging influence the government human capital investment mechanism, followed by the establishment of VAR model, from two aspects of health human capital and education human capital, empirical analysis of the impact of population aging on human capital investment; finally, put forward the countermeasure effect of population aging on the government human capital investment.From the theoretical level, the population of Chongqing has a positive role in promoting the government education and health human capital investment. The empirical results also show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the stability of Chongqing education investment, investment in health and population aging, the aging of the population every 1% increase of the government will promote the education capital investment increased by 0.950%, health capital investment increases 9.981%. The aging of the population to education capital investment effect of pre pulse is negative, negative effect decreased and stabilized positive effect, the rate of contribution is 10%; the population aging effect on health capital investment of pre impact is negative, the third phase began to affect the variable is positive and rapid increase, its contribution to maintain at 20% levels. Thus, the aging of the population has an important role in the government of Chongqing education capital and health capital investment. In view of the above question, read through a large number of domestic and foreign literature, the author put forward the following policy suggestions: first, strengthen the education capital investment, improve the quality of the population; second, the implementation of health management, promote the "health aging process; third, to increase the input of the elderly health key projects, improve the efficiency of government investment; fourth, the rational use of the elderly human silver resources, strengthen human capital investment; fifth, improve the social security system, resist aging impact; sixth, the government investment as the leading, promoting social diversified investment.
Keywords/Search Tags:aging, human capital investment, education, health, VAR
PDF Full Text Request
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