The Risk Analysis Of Mining Project In Overseas

With the development of our country’s economy, the national economy demand for the more mineral resources. Country attaches to the great importance and encourage enterprises to foreign investment in mining industry. So the risk control for overseas investment has become an important issue for enterprises. This article mainly discusses and analysis the outside market of mining. Combined with the traditional theory, and expounds the theories and method of the risk analysis on investment, and establish the risk analysis model of mining investment. At the same time, we need make reasonable verification to the above methods and reasoning based on the historical data. The article systemically analyzes the value of mineral resources, investment environment and the financial situation. At last the minerals overseas investment project model is verified, according to the investment project cases. And combined with some quantitative and qualitative analysis methods,such as Analytic hierarchy process, the monte carlo simulation, fuzzy and comprehensive evaluation method and so on. Based on the research of the theory and practice operation, analysis conclusions as follows:The risk of the project close to the lower level. Also we made a prediction for the iron ore prices in the future10years.Results show that the average price of iron ore for$148.78.This price is higher than that of the financial forecasts$100,indicate that the data is accurate. The prospects of the project are optimistic. The significance of this article is to make identification, analysis and evaluation at the project technology, operation conditions, the economic, social, and political risk and so on In the feasibility stage. With scientific and rational theory can guide the practical work, and reduce the project risk, improve the level of investment decisions. Provide the effective analysis methods for the enterprise overseas investment and the objective data.