Study On The Reasonable And Influential Factor To The Residential Real Estate Prices In Nanchang

In the current complicated social and economic environment, the stability and developmentof China’s real estate affect both the growth of the national economy and the livelihood of thepeople. Under the environment of keeping the development and controling prices confirmed thelivelihood of the people, how to guide the healthy development of China’s real estate industry is aparticularly important topic, Based on the "real estate prices" as the theme, the research in thearticle around the "to promote the sustained and healthy development of China’s real estateindustry", and for the Chinese real estate industry the current outstanding problems facing indeveloping were discussed emphatically, selected topic overall situation and proactive, focusedand relevant practice. At the same time, the paper stick to the scientific development concept, inorder to promote the healthy development of China’s real estate industry as the theme, built pricerationality analysis of affecting factors and evaluation system for NanChang city residential realestate, provides a scientific and reasonable measurement to the urban real estate industrydevelopment level, in particular, there are important practical significance and reference value.The article is on the basis of relevant research results around the world, firstly it’s thereviewe about the real estate development of China, respectively from the real estate market, realestate industry, three aspects of urban human settlements, and based on the national bureau ofstatistics, concluding the used data issued by the authority of summary, digging the past homesreal estate in our country’s basic condition and main characteristics, and from the Angle ofeconomics of the real estate market, the influential factors of the urban housing price change hascarried on the theoretical analysis, an objective evaluation of the rule of Nanchang city residentialreal estate price changes in recent years, the cause and the coordinated relationship betweenhousing price level and social and economic development, provide the basis for the governmentto further develop the real estate market regulation policy. Secondly, based on Nanchang city realestate prices in2008-2012years related statistical data as the basis, through the grey correlationanalysis of grey correlation degree between real estate prices and various influence factors of thesize, thus check out the influencing factors that affect the real estate prices and can reflect ourcountry land, rental housing, bank credit and other aspects of the main.To analyze the impact of China’s real estate prices mechanism further, this article selectshigh correlation of the CPI, land price index and housing rental prices reflect prices expected,land prices, rental prices for dynamic changes in the price of real estate in our country, considering the competition characteristics of the real estate market in our country. using VARmodel, impulse response function analysis, found that the real estate price changes with a lag ofthese factors changes in the short term, but in the long run, the real estate price changes of thesefactors have positive responsiveness. Finally, using the method of indication and theoretical pricemethod to judge the rationality of the Nanchang housing price level, the real estate price rises,analyzes the change trend, and on how to keep the healthy of the real estate market.