Research On The Evaluation Of XT Logistics Park Investment Risk Based On The Whole Life Cycle

As a new thing in the development of modern logistics industry, logistics parkis an inevitable product that logistics industry in scale and intensive development toa certain stage, and has become the logistics industrial agglomeration area thatprovides logistics infrastructure and public services for many enterprises. Logisticspark has the advantages of logistics function integration, logistics facilities sharedand logistics land saving. The healthy development of logistics park has veryimportant significance to improve the enterprise economic benefit and socialefficiency of logistics services, promote the structure adjustment of regional industryand the transformation of the economic development pattern. Due to the hugeinvestment, long payback period and many uncertain factors, investors have facedgreater risks. If we can’t make scientific evaluation and take right measures to avoidthese risks then there will be lots of loss to the investors. Therefore, the research onthe investment risk of logistics park has important theoretical significance andapplication value.Based on the domestic and international logistics park, this thesis takes XTlogistics park as the research object and uses SWOT analysis method to analyze thedevelopment environment of XT logistics park, including its strengths, weaknesses,opportunities and threats; based on the theory of whole life cycle risk, this thesissystematically analyzes the investment risk factors that XT logistics park has facedin investment decision-making stage, planning and design stage, construction stageand operation stage, and on the basis of these, the thesis builds XT logistics parkinvestment risk evaluation index system; using information entropy andunascertained theory to construct XT logistics park risk evaluation model based oninformation entropy and unascertained measure, and making comprehensiveevaluation on XT logistics park investment risk; combing the reality of XT logisticspark and according to the different stages of whole life cycle, this thesis puts forwardinvestment risk avoidance strategies of logistics park.