Ganzhou City Center Commercial Residential Consumer Demand Analysis And Forecasting

A profound impact on the development of real estate are other sectors of society, a strongdriving force, characterized by a high degree of correlation makes it occupies a very importantposition in the national economy. Under the current favorable economic environment, the steadydevelopment of the national economy, the real estate field inadequacies that emerged a series ofcontradictions, a serious waste of resources such as land, price earnings ratio remains high, thehousingbubbleoftheincrease, andseriousphenomenon ofvacanthousing.Ganzhou city center commercial residential consumer market, while the rapid development,but also highlights the many problems, such as the rapid growth of commercial housing prices,commodity housing supply structure is irrational phenomena such as supply and demand factorsaffecting residential Ganzhou city center two basic elements of the consumer market, wheredemand factors play in the current housing market in Ganzhou important role, therefore, how theresearch and regulation of residential demand, perfect for building a healthy housing market inGanzhou city center has a positive meaning. This paper studies the demand for domestic residentialmarket are reviewed, on the basis of Ganzhou city center commercial housing marketdevelopment history, current situation, problem analysis, the use of gray correlation analysis ofGanzhou city center commercial housing market demand for qualitative factors and quantitativeanalysis, the value of screening center city GDP, disposable income, per capita living space,higher non-agricultural population of four commercial housing sales area associated with thedegree of the four indicators, and through the construction of GM (1,1) model The four mainfactors quantitative prediction indicators, combined with GM (1, N) model derived Ganzhou citycenternext five commodity housing demand, finally proposed regulation based on the needs of theresidential market, and promote Ganzhou city center commercial housing market healthycountermeasuredevelopment.