Research On The Potential And Model Of People Linked To Land In Zhou Kou

At present, the social economy in a period of rapid development in China, city process is also accompanied by the acceleration of economic development, increasing population in the city, making the urban construction land increasingly shortage. On the contrary, China’s rural construction land area is large, the distribution of scattered, intensive degree is not high, has great potential. The development of human hook pilot work, can not only change the backward of rural living environment, provide a large number of turnover index for urban construction, but also can guide the investment and construction of rural areas through the planning, improve the income of farmers. Therefore, researchers linked to potential and operation mode is very necessary.In 2011 September, the State Council issued the "guiding opinions on speeding up the construction of the Central Plains Economic Area in support of Henan province". Henan province put forward clearly, allowing exploration development between urban and rural areas, people hook policy pilot area in between, this is an important measure to promote the construction of area of Central Plains economy, people linked policies, both to protect the farmland, and increase the area of land used for urban construction, to solve the land problems, and further promote the new rural construction. In 2012 June, the Henan provincial government and the Department of homeland signed "to advance the reform of land management system and promoting the construction of area of Central Plains economy cooperation agreement". The further innovation of land management system reform, strengthen the economical and intensive utilization of land resources, actively promote the rural land remediation, urban and rural development, and clearly put forward: "to carry out exploration people hook pilot policy." In December of the same year, Henan Provincial Department of land and resources issued "notice about carrying out the pilot work of" people hook, Specified pilot counties in Henan province to declare the conditions, procedures and specific job requirements, penalties and other related content, to provide policy support and procedural basis for the next step to carry out the work of people hook.This paper takes the urban and rural construction of Zhoukou city land hook was studied as an example. Firstly expounds the background and significance of carrying out human hook, with references to the related concepts and theoretical basis of hook. Then the study area of natural, social economy and rural construction land situation analysis, and sums up some problems. The total population followed by comprehensive growth rate model method, two times curve regression model forecasting method and grey system prediction model method in Zhoukou city in 2020 11.925 million people. And then combined with the present situation of the rural population, land use, economic source, living environment and other factors of rural construction in this area, forecast 2020 Zhoukou city construction land is 28000.02 hectares of new demand. Next, according to the average per capita and homestead method to calculate the theoretical potential of rural construction of Zhoukou city in 2020 87767.24 hectares of land consolidation; Through the establishment of correction system, using AHP(analytic hierarchy process) model to calculate the rural construction in 2020 Zhoukou city land consolidation potential of 32275.25 hectares of reality; According to hook potential and the reality of supply linked to demand, draw hook potential coefficient and balances, and the proportion of the population in accordance with law to Zhoukou people to hook into the focus of the hook region, sub-region and the general focus of the hook hook area. Based on summarizing the classic hook model, combined with the potential of different regions of the hook to hook the layout of Zhoukou City, summarized the development of Zhoukou city people hook model. Finally, according to the actual situation of Zhoukou city layout and potential human hook, is conducive to people to hook the implementation proposal.