Research On The Influence Factors Of Cotton Market Price Fluctuation Under Full Market Conditions In Xinjiang And Its Control Policy

With acceleration of the globalization process, increasing international trade exchanges between different countries, international trade policy and national industrial structure appeared new changes and new characteristics, the emergence of various cotton cultivation methods and cotton planting technology accelerate the global cotton trade situation changes. In the situation of world trade changes prompted major cotton producing countries adjust its cotton production and develop new cotton policy and promote the development of the cotton industry in the country. Temporary storage of cotton began to implement in 2011, it twisted on the formation mechanism of the market price of cotton, government monopoly replace the game between farmers and enterprises, the market price could not reflect the situation of supply and demand, it makes domestic and international cotton price gap widen rapidly, the most direct consequence is that cotton imports increased by a large margin, market price has weakened its power for the cotton market due to the existence of temporary policy for purchasing and stockpiling,.In 2014, Xinjiang began to implement the target price pilot, but there is no reasonable model and a unified understanding of the cotton market price formation, in the case of market prices can not accurately predict, the implementation of the target price may deviate from the expected effect. Therefore, the factors that determine the price fluctuation of cotton market become the important part of the cotton market price fluctuation.The paper analysis the new situation of cotton industry development in Xinjiang, and determine the factors that affect the price fluctuation of cotton market in Xinjiang, and analysis the various factors from the theoretical point. This paper also analysis the linkage between the domestic cotton market price and Xinjiang cotton market price, and construct of the fundamental equations of Xinjiang cotton price fluctuations, and put forward the Countermeasures of stabilize Xinjiang cotton prices on this basis.