Research On Application Of Traffic Volume Prediction Method For Satellite City Roads

Road construction is not only a simple data problem,but also related to the specific regional economic development.Especially in the county(district)level of economic development,the smooth transportation network not only can link the inter-regional industries,but also to ensure the interconnection of material information,to promote the coordinated development of the city as a whole is of great significance.Accurate prediction of traffic volume has a fundamental role in determining technical standards,technical solutions and economic and social evaluation of highway construction.Prediction of traffic volume is a kind of comprehensive prediction,which includes quantitative and qualitative prediction.Generally,the economic development status of the region,distribution and transportation status of.the road network and future traffic development planning are the important factors that should be considered in predicting traffic volume and accordingly deciding the road technical standards,comparing feasible route schemes and analyzing the economic and financial benefits of various schemes.However,the past studies generally focused on the study of high-grade roads.However,little attention has been paid to the study of satellite city road,which is more important for ordinary roads,especially the future urbanization.This thesis focuses on prediction and application of the traffic volume for the satellite city road.First of all,this thesis introduces the development of traffic volume prediction at home and abroad,and gives a detailed description of the current traffic volume prediction models at home and abroad.Second,the thesis analyzes and summarizes the four-stage traffic volume prediction method,including normal trend traffic volume prediction,induced traffic volume prediction and transformed traffic volume prediction.Third,the thesis explains the development of satellite city and satellite city,analyzes the characteristics of satellite city traffic volume prediction.Then,the thesis analyzes the regional socio-economic and traffic background based on the Fuyang Lingqiao to Yushan section project of the Fuyang Lingchu to Taishun road.Finally,the thesis introduces the case analysis of traffic volume prediction through the four-stage traffic volume prediction method,including analysis of the traffic capacity and the number of lanes of the satellite studied road based on the predicted results.The presented traffic volume prediction of the satellite city road provides an alternative method and thinking for the feasibility analysis and decision-making of the samilar road projects.