The Interaction Research Of Industrialization,Urbanization And Aging

Industrialization and urbanization is path to world's development,at the same time,aging has become the unavoidable problem.Now that they are the core contents of social development,it is of great value to explore their internal interaction.The existing literature has done some work on single subject and bidirectional interaction,but the research about the interaction of the three is not much.The article selected three representative countries in east Asia China,South Korea and Japan,which sit close to each other and have similar culture.There are some gradient relation in their development stage,and it's very good for the research of industrialization,urbanization and aging.Through documentation,comparative research and some empirical research method,such as impulse response analysis and variance decomposition,this article can fill the blank of the theory.On the other hand,it can also help China accelerate the development of industrialization and urbanization,and actively deal with aging problem.After doing some collections,sorts and analyses about three country's industrialization,urbanization and aging,combined with the existing theory,this article found there are both encourage and discourage affect among them.The encourage affect show in three aspects,for example,industrialization powers urbanization and aging,urbanization guarantees industrialization and aging,aging changes urbanization and industrialization.The discourage affect also show in three aspects,for instance,labour supply short hinders the development of industrialization,traditional pension model affects the urbanization process,low urbanization quality influences industrial efficiency.In order to verify the idea,this article used Eviews7.2 and Stata12.0 to deal with the data from 1960 to 2015,and then conducted response analysis and variance decomposition.Results show that the affcets among three variates are not same.It may have something to do with different stages of development,the effect of policy and the true meaning behind the index level.From the variance decomposition,we can find China,South Korea and Japan show gradient development relations.Aging effects on other indicators are consistent,all show the trend of strengthening year by year,and in the future,it is likely to become the dominant force affecting the development of "sanhua".On the whole,this article agrees with the former scholars' findings,in addition,it verified the ageing factors in the particularity.Therefore,countries should strengthen the awareness of aging.In the end,combining the research results above,the article put forward some suggestions from three aspects,aims to draw lessons from the experience of Japan,South Korea,promote the development of new industrialization and new urbanization,actively deal with aging problem.The first is to promote the development of new industrialization,play the leading role of industrialization to urbanization.The second is to promote the new urbanization process,strengthen the promoting effect of urbanization to industrialization;The third is to develop the active aging,promote the positive interaction among ageing and industrialization,urbanization.