The Influence Of The Fund Balance In Some Parts Of Inter-provincial Migration To Urban Basic Endowment Insurance

Interval differentiation in every provinces' economic development level of our country's provides a strong economic motivation for the provincial population migration,as the nationwide ageing phenomenon aggravate,pay-as-you-go fund of primary endowment insurance has been influenced heavily by the population structure.This paper takes provincial population migration as a starting point to predicting the migration of population in domestic typical provinces or cities and comparing endowment insurance burden coefficient,endowment insurance fund balance of payments,funds balance differences in different provinces and cities.Firstly,this paper reviewed theory and empirical literatures about the population migration,population forecast,endowment insurance fund gap,the labor market and pension insurance relations;Secondly,emphatically summarized the space status quo of China's population migration and migration population characteristics;On this basis,the third part build provincial population migration model,got points gender age population mobility and migration of population in 2010-2060 of the Beijing,Shanghai,Guangdong,Zhejiang,Anhui,Henan,Hunan and Jiangxi;In the fourth chapter,this paper establish a model to calculate and comparison the differences in pension burden coefficient,fund gap and the degree of the fund balance influenced by the migration,the retirement age for women of eight provinces and cities.By summarizing the data simulation results,found that in the long term the provinces universal pensions' income is less than spending,to some extent the population migration can improve the urban basic endowment insurance fund balance;Stability and permanent population migration and migration proportion of elderly people rises can ease pressure on provinces population outflow of funds expenditure,but will raise fund pressure on Population into provinces.Population emigration provinces can benefit from delay retirement age for women.The fifth chapter on how to improve the ability to pay endowment insurance fund and gives the corresponding measures from migration,endowment insurance,elastic extension of the retirement age for women,and promote national endowment insurance plan.And the paper emphasized:pay-as-you-go pension strongly depend on the population structure and regional economic level,the free movement of labor can realize the balanced development of regional economy fundamentally,we need to re-examine and reasonable treatment of inter-provincial migration phenomenon.