An Empirical Analysis Of The Population Mobility And Economic Development In Jilin Province

As the population flow in the social and economic dual drive,covering social phenomenon of the macro factors and individual factors,including social problems associated with the household registration system reform and development,regional economic differences and the floating population and local interaction relations,is a complex problem and reaction time,multi dimension function under the space.Jilin Province,as one of the three northeastern provinces,from the late 1980 s,has become a net migration of the population,to 1995-2000,Jilin Province,the annual net migration rate of 2.17%,a serious population loss.Through empirical analysis,the total population of Jilin province from 2000 to 2011,has been a mean rising trend,three years from 2011 to 2014,the number of population to decline,namely family planning and entered the aging society brings the negative population growth began,this can change from the dependency coefficient,and that the age of the population the statistics of the number of.The internal structure of the floating population in Jilin province is mainly in the province,which accounts for 70% of the total population.After clustering in various regions of the province,it is obvious that the floating population has the advantage of economic development and geographical advantages,such as Changchun and Jilin,Songyuan and Yanbian.The floating population of Jilin province forecast of 4 million 300 thousand,still maintained a net migration since the last century since 80 s,the rate of negative population loss will still bring a series of influence economic,political and cultural development in all aspects of Jilin province.From 2000 to 2014,the GDP of Jilin province has increased significantly,but 14 years,the contribution rate of the three industries in Jilin province has not changed significantly,is still the one or two industry based provinces.The correlation coefficient between floating population and regional and regional GDP reached 97%.After the factor analysis of the seven statistical indicators which are related to economic growth,a representative factor is obtained,which is more than 85%.Through the test of causality between variables,it is proved that the change of floating population has an effect on economic growth,and the effect of economic growth on the floating population is not established.