Research And Application Of Power Grid Investment Forecast And Distribution Model In Foshan Power Supply Bureau

City Power Supply Bureau in the regional economic development plays an indispensable role,in recent years,with the rapid economic growth,electricity demand increased year by year,the power grid investment continued to increase,the PUC energy as the cornerstone of economic development,effective scale grid investment will help determine the provincial Power Grid Corp to co-ordinate the deployment of investment funds that has important practical significance to the development of investment allocation mode of enterprises will be reasonable.Integrated power supply bureau of Foshan power grid investment volume in Guangdong power limited liability company directly under the units ranked second,and in the leading position in the investment management and a normative,this paper intends to Foshan Power Supply Bureau as an example to carry out research,to the pilot,for power grid construction funds,net investment and the country under the Council the distribution and provide a theoretical basis and reference method.According to the actual situation of Foshan Power Supply Bureau,on the basis of the domestic and foreign research results,research on urban power grid investment scale forecast and allocation model.First carries on the analysis and screening of Foshan power supply bureau investment index,the construction of city power supply bureau investment evaluation index system;using the correlation analysis method of evaluation index reduction,eliminating the redundant index;then the dimensionless processing of the evaluation index reduction,unified quantitative indicators to determine the weight of each attribute;the evaluation indicators by using the variation coefficient method;comprehensive evaluation using the linear weighted sum method of investment of Foshan power supply bureau to effect;system of investment prediction model is reasonable and practical,this paper intends to introduce business performance,service ability test as a constraint condition,finally using the relationship between the regression theory and comprehensive evaluation of the investment value and the establishment of the scale of investment prediction model.The scale of investment to establish the forecasting model of investment allocation model as the foundation,first selected to reflect the investment benefit distribution,the main index to build index system,index weight determination of the selected index system using variation coefficient method,combined with the investment scale prediction formula,the formation of investment allocation model.Through several data measured,the Foshan power grid project of the comprehensive investment planning to play a good supporting role,and in 2013 formally put into use.