An Empirical Study On The Interactive Relationship Between Urbanization And Agricultural Output

Chinese urban population proportion of the total population has reached 57.35% in 2016.During "12th Five-Year" period,the urbanization rate by an average of 1.23 percentage points faster,and more rapid rise has become the new norm.From the point of view of economic development,urbanization is an inevitable social and economic development.Urbanization is the process of social and economic global coupling interaction the interlinked,on the upgrading of the industrial structure,economic growth,technological innovation,and capital accumulation has strategic significance of urbanization development.But from the social perspective,more need careful view.With the development of urbanization,urban and rural gap(education,medical insurance,etc.)widening urban-rural relationship,agriculture weak growth sensitive problems began to enter people's vision,people began to reflect on whether or not to blindly promote the development of urbanization? How to coordinate the relationship between urban and rural areas? How to reverse the weak agricultural pattern? Therefore,any current on China's agricultural and rural development strategies,systems and policies should not be divorced from the rapid urbanization and urban and rural relations,the sensitivity of the objective facts.The urbanization of Heilongjiang province began in 1991,through the optimization of industrial structure,improve the policy orientation,in the urbanization construction has made remarkable achievements.The total population of Heilongjiang was 38.33 million in 2014,of which the urban population of 22.24 million,and the urbanization rate of up to 58.02%,ranked 11 in china.At the same time,along with the continuous development of urbanization,the structure of agricultural production and agricultural output in Heilongjiang province also presents a wave state.Is this fluctuation related to urbanization? What is the underlying mechanism? And how to solve it? All sorts of questions become the starting point of this paper.According to the literature review,in the process of rapid urbanization,the allocation of factors of production,the demand for agricultural products,the structure of agricultural production and institutional change have a certain impact.This paper will focus on the agricultural production factor allocation,study on the interaction of urbanization and agricultural output,and to analyze the internal mechanism of urbanization in Heilongjiang Province agricultural output predict trends and quantify,and deal with the impact on the agricultural development of urbanization of Heilongjiang province and how to promote the development of urbanization put forward policy suggestions.The general framework is as follows:According to the theory of core periphery diffusion,two-dimensional economic theory and growth pole theory,this paper analyzes the effect of urbanization on the allocation of agricultural production factors,and establishes the logical relationship between urbanization development and agricultural output.And based on the time series data of Heilongjiang province 1990-2014,the simultaneous equation model(SEM)is used to illustrate the results.The framework of this paper consists of four parts: the first part is the research foundation,which mainly describes the research background,purpose and significance,related concepts,theory and literature review;the second part is the analysis of the theory of interaction between urbanization and agricultural output,to clarify the logical relationship between the two;the third part is the empirical description,using econometric model the quantization of the problem,and the results were analyzed and realized in response to the second part;the fourth part puts forward some suggestions for the analysis.The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: the impact of urbanization on agricultural output is "U" type,the turning point is 0.5418,agricultural output has a positive impact on the development of urbanization,and its elasticity is about 0.0327.Finally,based on the urbanization development model,the deployment of urban and rural elements and the development of large-scale agriculture,three dimensions are put forward to realize the coordinated development of urbanization and agricultural output.