Research And Application Of Vacancy Rate Index System

At present,China's real estate market vacancy problem is not mature enough,the real meaning of the vacancy is not very clear,which led to a lot of controversy on the vacancy problem.This will naturally lead to different judgments on the real estate market.The housing vacancy class indicators,the real estate market is a sustained and healthy development,the development of an important part of scientific development.Through the summary,comparison and analysis of the domestic and international research on the vacancy problem,this paper establishes the vacancy rate index system which can reflect the real estate and the real estate sales.The definition of the vacancy rate,the vacancy rate and the reasonable vacancy rate in the stock market and incremental market.The influence factors of stock and incremental market vacancy rate are analyzed.In addition,to solve the factors of stock and reasonable vacancy rate increment by economics analysis at home and abroad to solve the model,and different conditions for the stock market and incremental improvement,the previous model,the calculation model of the stock and incremental rate were used to construct reasonable vacancy.In addition,the definition of the sale of real estate sales reflect the vacancy rate,and its calculation methods.In addition,the vacancy rate as a real estate sales risk indicators.The risk measurement model of real estate sales market in Chongqing was established to measure the level of risk accumulation in Chongqing real estate market.In the stage of empirical research,first of all,the first part of the empirical research through the internal statistical data of electric power sector and field sampling methods were obtained in Chongqing city in 2016 the actual vacancy rate and the vacancy rate of incremental stock.Through the query statistics bureau official statistics or other statistical indicators of the vacancy rate in the relevant data.According to the solution of the reasonable vacancy rate of stock and increment in this paper,the author makes an empirical study on the reasonable vacancy rate of the stock market and incremental market in Chongqing.The estimated stock and increment reasonable vacancy rate and the stock and incremental actual vacancy rate comparison,the development trend of Chongqing housing vacancy causes and the housing market,and puts forward some suggestions and Countermeasures to the healthy development of Chongqing stock market and incremental.In addition,the second part of the empirical research,the risk value model of Chongqing City Sales vacancy rate was carried out using CrystalBall software of Monte Carlo stochastic simulation method for simulation and prediction,simulated the vacancy rate in Chongqing in 2017 sales,finally in the stress test scenario construction method,calculate the risk value of the vacancy rate in Chongqing sales situation under the.Finally,according to the results of the empirical study,this paper analyzes the reasons for the phenomenon of irrational vacancy in the incremental and stock market in Chongqing.And from the vacancy rate,the paper gives the corresponding policy recommendations for the healthy development of Chongqing...