Studies On Linkage Mechanism Of Zhengzhou Airport Economic Comprehensive Experimental Area Based On The MS-VAR Model

This thesis aiming at the development of Zhengzhou airport economic comprehensive experimentation area,based on the mainland central plains economic zone of the harbor,with development model of advanced international air cargo hub airport in the world as the basis,find out the strategy model for the development of Zhengzhou airport economic comprehensive experimentation area.The progress of Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport(CGO)concerns the development of Zhengzhou harbor and the economy of Henan province as a whole,which account for the key to action plan on the China-proposed Belt and Road Initiative.The methods in the thesis are using combining the theoretical analysis,empirical research with qualitative and quantitative analysis.Firstly,according to comparison and literature method,thoroughly analyzing and studying its concept,features and classification for the international air cargo hub with the airport as the consideration,which select three model from the top 20 of the airport cargo in the world.Secondly,the thesis analyses in detail three typical models about which theirs formations,characteristics and competitive advantages.At last,choosing nonlinear markov area system transformation of vector autoregressive model(MS-VAR)as the research method,the thesis can proceed with empirical research establishing the industrial linkage model(MSIH(4)-VAR(4)).The research result shows that it's possible for Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport(CGO)will become the plan for international air cargo hub,which accounts for endeavor to achieve the vision.The attempt to satisfy the human on the basis of timeliness,to play the utility of the regional economic growth and to put aviation logistics industry become the era of air transport in the 21 st century,thus it expands effects to the progress of the Zhengzhou airport economic comprehensive experimentation area.The empirical analysis shows the sample is divided into two regimes: low regime and high regime.Meanwhile,when it occurs to the state of high correlation between aviation logistics and electronic manufacturing,the two industry linkage tend to stable situation and its opening time is 2012.In summary,based on the present situation of Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport(CGO),according to electronic manufacturing have deep influence on aviation logistics,shift model is going to be pulling the airport freight volume and the possibility of economic growth,which accounts for the existing models can't bring new growth effect.The new model is toachieve the possibility of international air cargo hub airport through the international trade driven by Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport(CGO).