Economic Benefit And Risk Assessment Of Solar Photovoltaic Power Generation Project

Under the pressure of the global energy crisis and the environmental protection,using the renewable energy resources become the necessity,instead of the low-stocked and seriously-polluted conventional energy resources.The solar photovoltaic power generation(shortly for PV)leaps forward in the field of renewable energy,and becoming of the largest renewable energy industry.Usage of PV can deduct coral and oil usage,optimize the energy structure,play a significant role in energy-saving,emission-reduction and air pollution prevention.Nowadays,PV weighs heavily in the Chinese economy development.The economic benefit evaluation and economic risk assessment of PV seems especially important.However,we can't find any criterion about the economic benefit evaluation and economic risk assessment in the current economic evaluation method.The purpose of this thesis is constructing the economic benefit evaluation and economic risk assessment system through different evaluating indicator,which is suitable for PV projects.On the basis of analyzing the research background and purpose,the thesis states the theory and method of the economic benefit evaluation,specifying the financial evaluation index and method,national economy evaluation index and method,uncertainty analysis method and content,the meaning of analytic hierarchy process and risk assessment procedures,etc.Finally,the thesis takes an example of the 20 MW PV projects in GH County.First of all,the thesis introduces the construction environment,analyses the plan and estimates the investment.Then,the thesis makes research in analyzing the three index: the project total cost,generation benefit and sensibility.At last,the thesis estimates the project repayment ability,generating profitability and financial viability.In order to ensure the accuracy of project economic evaluation,the thesis adopts the AHP method on the risk factor evaluation,which influences the project economy.After this estimation,the thesis comes to a conclusion that: PV project conforms to the national industrial policy and the strategy of sustainable development;PV project not only has great economic and social benefits,but also has great ability to resist risks.