| The "South China Sea Issue"(SCSI)is involved in the reality of national security strategy,increasing the political mutual trust of the SCSI’s stakeholders and stabilizing the situation in the South China Sea has important strategic significance to maintaining a good trend and resolving territorial disputes.The intra-domain disputing countries(area),the intra-domain participating countries,also the extraterritorial interference countries has formed a cross-interest interaction of complex networks on the SCSI,and the economic dominance of the countries as well as the mutual benefit is the basis and premise of sovereignty dispute resolution in the network.On the basis of defining the stakeholders of SCSI,this article collected bilateral commodity trade data of 20 countries(area)from 1996 to 2015 in order to construct the network.Firstly,the characteristics of the trade network of its stakeholders were analyzed by using social network analysis.The results show four evolutionary trends,the overall network density of the "trade network" of the SCSI is increased,there are obvious heterogeneity of the network that the network structure is more stable,the China,Japan,and the United States are in an absolute position in the network,the overall reciprocity of the network is low,but the network reciprocity is increasing.Secondly,it examined the covariate effect of the different level commodity trade network on the network of political relations,and confirms the conclusion that the close trade relationship of goods has a significant positive impact on the political relations network.Thirdly,the main factors influencing the evolution trend of the network are tested by using the exponential random graph model(ERGM).The actors attributes such as overseas Chinese,military power,the PDI,LPI,the construction of infrastructure,ETI and the G20,RCEP,AIIB have a significant impact on the trade relationship between the commodity trade network in the SCSI.Finally,from the perspective of promoting the development of commodity trade relations,the paper puts forward China’s response strategy. |
