Economic Analysis And Countermeasure Research Of The Phenomenon Of "The Number Of Production,Imports And Stocks Increased Simultaneously" Of Grain In China

The phenomenon of "The number of production,imports and stocks increased simultaneously" is a special agricultural economic phenomenon in China in a specific historical period.It is an abnormal agricultural phenomenon.Generally speaking,the continuous increase of grain production often accompanied by a decrease in imports,and if grain is in urgent need of import,then inventory should be at a low level,or if stocks remain high,China's grain supply should be oversupplied and imports should be reduced.This abnormal agricultural phenomenon reflects the problems and interactions in China's grain production,trade and circulation.Therefore,the study on this phenomenon can further discover the problems and problems in grain production,international trade and grain reserves,and rationalize the internal mechanism of the interaction between grain production,circulation,reserve and trade,to straighten out the effects of price on grain production,trade and circulation,to safeguard the interests of farmers,and to guarantee the production of grain at home.Food security has important theoretical and practical significance.First of all,this paper from three aspects of China's high grain production,high import and high storage,respectively studied the status of the three aspects,the existing problems and the causes of the problems;and from the aspect of grain productionfrom,it is found that the "Twelve continuous increase" of grain production is the problem that the shortage of grain supply and the structural contradiction are becoming more and more prominent.With the urbanization level and the people's living standard,the gap between the grain production structure and the benefit of grain and food is the cause of the problem.And from the aspect of grain import,it is found that the structural contradiction between the structure of the soybean and the structural contradiction of the grain production leads to the increase of the import of soybean,and the lower tariff level and the price difference at home and abroad lead to the lack of competitive advantage in the domestic grain,and the grain consumption market is squeezed.From the aspect of stock,it is found that the grain stock is high in China's grain "entering the market of foreign grain,national grain storage" and "Twelve increasing".The difficulty of domestic grain sale is not only related to the shortage of sales power management loopholes in the grain reserve management system of our country,but also with the mechanism of price formation in grain circulation,and the lowest price is to disrupt the grain market price and is key factor of the grid.Secondly,according to the above research conclusions,the inner mechanism of the "three quantities" problem is summed up,and the following conclusions are drawn: firstly,in China's grain related support policy,the policy of grain price support has played a very good role in increasing farmers' income,promoting farmers' enthusiasm for production,and guaranteeing grain production.Second,in me The grain price is the main thread of the problem,and the lowest purchase price has become the vane of the domestic grain price to a large extent,and the lowest purchase price of the high three is the direct result of the increase of the output,the import volume and the stock,and the third,the lowest purchase price of grain.It is determined by the continuous high cost of grain production.Although the government has carried out the "four subsidy" policy through the process of agricultural production,the "ceiling effect" of the cost of agricultural production in China is still the fundamental reason for the sustained high grain price to maintain the basic agricultural production.Finally,from the perspective of the combination of the price support and the subsidy,the paper puts forward the countermeasures to stabilize the price of grain.According to the theory of "the smile curve",the suggestion of promoting the development,the quality and the efficiency is put forward from the angle of the agricultural research and development,and the input of knowledge intensive factors is increased and the agricultural production is increased.In order to reduce the cost of grain production,we can reduce the labor input density in the production link from the perspective of innovative agricultural management system and the cultivation of new type of vocational agriculture.