| With the help of trade gravity model and multiple linear regression model to explore bilateral trade and the current situation of Economic and Trade Relations between China and,in the most basic trade gravity model,adding time of diplomatic,population density and distance relations,“One Belt One Road”of 64 countries as the empirical research object,choice panel data of bilateral trade from 1992 to 2014,estimate random effect model by stata11 measurement software,on this basis,intercepting China and “One Belt One Road”national trade data in 2014 to analysis the trade dependence between countries on economic and trade relations,and points out the problems of Chinese diplomacy relationship.The results show that the factors influencing the bilateral trade include the time of establishment of diplomatic relations,the gross domestic product,population density,distance and time factor.Among them,the establishment of diplomatic relations,the time,the gross domestic product,population density and time of bilateral trade play a positive role,while distance factors on bilateral trade barriers.The results of multiple regression analysis showed that a good trend of economic and trade relations between China and “One Belt One Road” countries as a whole,it reflects the relationship between countries become better with the diplomatic goes longer;However,some countries that have long diplomatic history with China,or have a richly endowed by nature geographical advantages,or accepting Chinas aid or investment for many years,the trade is not as good as the rapid development of diplomatic relations,we can see some economic problems between China and the “One Belt One Road” countries,this paper will give some policy suggestion later.The shortcomings of this paper is the time range could be short,the research time could be expanded to the founding of the people's Republic of China,due to the limited of statistical data lacking,this paper could not go as far back in time. |
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