Risk Assessment On The Project Of Electric Bus Financial Leasing In W Company

In recent years,with China's economic development and the process of urbanization,car demand in urban area maintained a momentum of rapid growth.As results,the external dependence of oil resources and air pollution have become increasingly serious.Therefore,the state and local governments promulgated a series of policies to stimulate the electric vehicle industry in order to alleviate the problems of energy shortage and air pollution.Especially in the field of public traffic service in the Beijing,Tianjin,Hebei,and Pearl River Delta,the governments clarified the minimum amount and the increment of electric buses,for the purpose of vigorously promoting electric bus project.However,since the electric vehicle industry relies on high and new technology,there are multiple uncertainties in regard to its development.For example,electric technology,relevant policies and regulations,market demand,financial security and many other aspects are all serious threats to the landing and promotion of the project.Therefore,it is necessary to carry out systematic research on the risk control and management of electric vehicle project.In this research,we analyzed the concept,characteristics and the current status of electric bus financial leasing in China and abroad,and the basic theory of risk management.By integrating theory with practice,and qualitative and quantitative analysis,we also evaluated the risk of the electric bus financial leasing project of X.Moreover,we as well identified different risk factors the project might face,such as technical risk,policy risk,market risk,operational risk and financial risk,and established indexes system(including 5 second level indexes and 17 third level indexes).Based on the features of risk assessment index,through launching the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)evaluation model,we calculated the risk indicators and estimated the results systematically.Finally,in line accordance with the company's risk appetite and the strategic needs,we presented a series of risk factors and response measures.