Study On Rail Transit Travel Rules And Transfer Mode Selection Model

Nowadays,with the rapid development of China’s social economy,the process of urbanization has been accelerated.Traffic demand is also growing,exceeding the current supply of transport facilities,some large and medium-sized cities will face traffic congestion.Therefore,it is particularly important to advocate green transportation,especially to give priority to urban public transport and rail transit.Based on the characteristics of urban residents’ travel and rail transit travel,this paper studies the choice probability of rail transit transfer modes.First of all,aiming at the problem of rail transit transfer,the research background and significance are demonstrated,and the research direction and content of this paper are established.At the same time,in this paper,we introduced research status at home and abroad,the concept,influencing factors and transfer mode of rail transit,six transfer modes of rail transit are put forward.Secondly,the travel law of rail transit is studied.Based on the basic definition,travel definition and transfer attributes of urban rail transit,this paper analyzes the travel characteristics of urban rail transit on the basis of the actual survey data in Changchun.The individual attributes and travel characteristics of travelers are obtained,which is mainly based on the probability distribution characteristics such as travel purpose,travel distance,travel time and travel cost of rail transit trip.Then,from the basic theory of the transfer of the urban rail transit,the main influencing factors of the transfer mode are demonstrated,and the comparison between the different transfer modes is carried out.The travel time,the travel cost and the travel distance are used as the basis for the prediction of the transit transferprobability of the rail transit.Afterwards,on the basis of the transfer law of urban rail transit,the selection model of rail transit transfer mode is established.Based on the influence factors of the travel cost and the transfer time,the Logit model of the choice of the transit mode of the rail transit is established,and the selection probability of the change mode of the urban rail transit is predicted.On the basis of Changchun data,the generalized cost model of rail transit transfer mode is established by MATLAB software fitting.The results show that the calculation error is very small,and the model is proved to be reliable within the allowable range.Finally,it is the summary of the thesis,including the summary of the research results,the deficiency and the prospect of the paper.