| The project of returning farmland to forests is an ecological construction project with the largest investment,the widest coverage and the highest participation of farmers in China(Wu Chengliang,2007).The report of the 19 th National Congress of the Communist Party of China clearly stated that improving the natural forest protection system and expanding the scale of returning farmland to forests(grass)indicates that returning farmland to forests(grass)has been included in the national development strategy and has become an important part of the ecological civilization construction in the new era.The achievements of returning farmland to forests are obvious to all.However,behind the dazzling achievements,the contradiction between the consolidation of the results of returning farmland to forests and the steady advancement of project management has become increasingly prominent.Farmers have a high degree of enthusiasm for participating in the return of farmland,but they are not active in the maintenance of afforestation and returning farmland.Therefore,in-depth discussion of the influencing factors,the willingness to maintain and the consistency of maintenance behavior of farmers’ willingness to maintain the results of returning farmland is of great significance for motivating farmers to maintain the results of returning farmland and promoting the sustainable development of the policy of returning farmland to forests.Based on the theory of incentives and the theory of individual rational choice,this study constructs a theoretical analysis framework for the factors affecting the maintenance willingness,maintenance willingness and behavioral consistency of farmer households by using relevant research at home and abroad,and uses 334 households in Ansai County,Northern Shaanxi Province in the Loess Plateau region.Based on the survey data of farmers,the development of returning farmland to forests in Ansai County and the consolidation of the results of returning farmland to forests were analyzed.Based on the research of the influencing factors of farmers’ willingness to return farmland,the binary Logit model was used to further study the farmers’ behavior to maintain the results of farmland returning.Then,the ISM model is used to empirically analyze the influencing factors of the willingness and behavioral consistency,and to analyze the relationship and hierarchical structure of the influencing factors,and to provide decision-making basis for the government to formulate more effective and different levels of incentive policies.The main conclusions of this study are as follows: First,there is a big difference between the farmers’ willingness to maintain the results of the returning farmland and the maintenance behavior.The farmers have higher willingness to maintain the results of returning farmland,but the maintenance intention and maintenance behavior of 65.44% of the farmers in the sample Is inconsistent;Second,the satisfaction of farmers on the policy of returning farmland and the future income expectation of the project of returning farmland to forests,whether the government provides follow-up farmland services,the survival rate of returning farmland,and the proportion of returning farmland subsidy income to total household income has a positive impact on farmers’ willingness to maintain the results of returning farmland.The impact of non-agricultural income as a proportion of total household income has a negative impact on farmers’ willingness to maintain;third,the rate of returning farmland forests,whether the government provides follow-up services,the implementation of government inspections,and future income expectations for returning farmland to forests The satisfaction with the policy of returning farmland helps to improve the consistency of the willingness to maintain and the behavior.The proportion of non-agricultural income to household income has a negative impact on the consistency of maintenance willingness and behavior.Fourth,from the interpretation of the structural model ISM results.It is seen that the cognitive characteristics of farmers and the endowment characteristics of forest resources are the surface and middle factors that affect the consistency of maintenance willingness and behavior.The economic factors and policy environment characteristics of household characteristics are the fundamental factors.In view of the above research conclusions,combined with the actual situation of the survey area,put forward policy recommendations for implementing differentiated compensation methods,strengthening government technical support,establishing dynamic supervision mechanisms,and strengthening government follow-up guarantee services. |